Sofia Kenin vs Varvara Gracheva: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis WTA Cincinnati Sofia Kenin - Varvara Gracheva
Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 17:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/32-finals
Sofia Kenin - Varvara Gracheva - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
315
Double Faults
76
1st Serve Percentage
63%56%
1st Serve Points Won
58% (45/77)58% (33/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (22/46)68% (30/44)
Break Points Saved
67% (10/15)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
44% (25/57)42% (32/77)
2nd Return Points Won
32% (14/44)52% (24/46)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)33% (5/15)
Service Points Won
54% (67/123)62% (63/101)
Return Points Won
38% (38/101)46% (56/123)
Total Points Won
47% (105/224)53% (119/224)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (10/15)87% (13/15)
Return Games Won
13% (2/15)33% (5/15)
Total Games Won
40% (12/30)60% (18/30)

Chances of winning


Sofia Kenin
58.6%
Varvara Gracheva
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.8% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sofia Kenin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sofia Kenin's form might have worsened.
  • Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varvara Gracheva's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofia Kenin than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sofia Kenin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varvara Gracheva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sofia Kenin - Varvara Gracheva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.44)

    2.31
    (2.78)
    4.6%
    (5.5%)
    What is the prediction for Sofia Kenin - Varvara Gracheva?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kenin will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Gracheva will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kenin: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gracheva (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kenin is ranked WTA: 29. Gracheva is ranked WTA: 103.
    • Kenin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gracheva is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Gracheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Kenin could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kenin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sofia Kenin - Varvara Gracheva were as follows:
    27.05.2025 Varvara Gracheva - Sofia Kenin 0:2
    Latest results of Sofia Kenin
    Latest results of Varvara Gracheva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Vondrousova M.Cristian J.2 : 0
    3Danilovic O.Boulter K.2 : 0
    4ByeRaducanu E. (30)
    5Fernandez L. (21)Bye
    6Williams V. (WC)Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    7Collins D.Townsend T. (WC)0 : 2
    8ByeSamsonova L. (13)
    9Rybakina E. (9)Bye
    10Zarazua R.Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    11Ngounoue C. (Q)Baptiste H.2 : 1
    12ByeMertens E. (19)
    13Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)Bye
    14Ito A. (Q)Ruse G.2 : 0
    15Pera B. (WC)Lys E.1 : 2
    16ByeKeys M. (6)
    17Swiatek I. (3)Bye
    18Potapova A.Siegemund L. (Q)2 : 0
    19Osuigwe W. (Q)Maria T.0 : 2
    20ByeKostyuk M. (25)
    21Frech M. (22)Bye
    22Cirstea S.Vekic D.2 : 1
    23Bucsa C. (LL)Yuan Y. (LL)0 : 2
    24ByeShnaider D. (14)
    25Alexandrova E. (12)Bye
    26Sun L.Ruzic A. (Q)2 : 0
    27Joint M.Minnen G.2 : 0
    28ByeHaddad Maia B. (18)
    29Kalinskaya A. (28)Bye
    30Stearns P.Wang Y.2 : 0
    31Starodubtseva Y.Jeanjean L. (Q)1 : 2
    32ByeAnisimova A. (5)
    33Navarro E. (8)Bye
    34Kudermetova P.Seidel E. (Q)1 : 2
    35McNally C. (WC)Inglis M. (Q)2 : 0
    36ByeKessler M. (29)
    37Kenin S. (24)Bye
    38Gracheva V. (Q)Volynets K. (WC)2 : 1
    39Kartal S.Garcia C. (WC)1 : 2
    40ByeMuchova K. (11)
    41Tauson C. (16)Bye
    42Bondar A.Tomljanovic A.0 : 2
    43Lamens S.Kudermetova V.0 : 2
    44ByeBencic B. (17)
    45Linette M. (31)Bye
    46Dolehide C.Sramkova R.1 : 2
    47Blinkova A.Birrell K.0 : 2
    48ByePegula J. (4)
    49Paolini J. (7)Bye
    50Rakhimova K. (Q)Sakkari M.1 : 2
    51Sevastova A.Bektas E. (Q)2 : 1
    52ByeKrueger A. (26)
    53Noskova L. (20)Bye
    54Jovic I. (LL)Sierra S. (LL)2 : 0
    55Parks A.Krejcikova B.1 : 2
    56ByeSvitolina E. (10)
    57Kasatkina D. (15)Bye
    58Zhu L.Bronzetti L.1 : 2
    59Uchijima M.Osorio C.1 : 2
    60ByeOstapenko J. (23)
    61Yastremska D. (32)Bye
    62Li A.Tomova V. (Q)0 : 2
    63Wang Xin.Arango E.2 : 0
    64ByeGauff C. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Vondrousova M.2 : 0
    2Danilovic O.Raducanu E. (30)0 : 2
    3Fernandez L. (21)Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    4Townsend T.Samsonova L. (13)2 : 0
    5Rybakina E. (9)Zarazua R.2 : 1
    6Ngounoue C.Mertens E. (19)1 : 2
    7Pavlyuchenkova A. (27)Ito A.1 : 2
    8Lys E.Keys M. (6)1 : 2
    9Swiatek I. (3)Potapova A.2 : 0
    10Maria T.Kostyuk M. (25)0 : 2
    11Frech M. (22)Cirstea S.1 : 2
    12Yuan Y.Shnaider D. (14)2 : 1
    13Alexandrova E. (12)Sun L.2 : 0
    14Joint M.Haddad Maia B. (18)2 : 1
    15Kalinskaya A. (28)Stearns P.2 : 1
    16Jeanjean L.Anisimova A. (WO.) (5)
    17Navarro E. (8)Seidel E.1 : 2
    18McNally C.Kessler M. (29)0 : 2
    19Kenin S. (24)Gracheva V.1 : 2
    20Garcia C.Muchova K. (11)0 : 2
    21Tauson C. (16)Tomljanovic A.2 : 1
    22Kudermetova V.Bencic B. (17)2 : 0
    23Linette M. (31)Sramkova R.2 : 0
    24Birrell K.Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    25Paolini J. (7)Sakkari M.2 : 0
    26Sevastova A.Krueger A. (26)1 : 2
    27Noskova L. (20)Jovic I.0 : 2
    28Krejcikova B.Svitolina E. (10)2 : 1
    29Kasatkina D. (15)Bronzetti L.1 : 2
    30Osorio C.Ostapenko J. (WO.) (23)
    31Yastremska D. (32)Tomova V.2 : 1
    32Wang Xin.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Raducanu E. (30)2 : 1
    2Bouzas Maneiro J.Townsend T.2 : 0
    3Rybakina E. (9)Mertens E. (19)2 : 1
    4Ito A.Keys M. (6)0 : 2
    5Swiatek I. (WO.) (3)Kostyuk M. (25)
    6Cirstea S.Yuan Y.2 : 1
    7Alexandrova E. (12)Joint M.2 : 0
    8Kalinskaya A. (28)Anisimova A. (5)2 : 0
    9Seidel E.Kessler M. (29)2 : 1
    10Gracheva V.Muchova K. (11)2 : 0
    11Tauson C. (16)Kudermetova V.1 : 2
    12Linette M. (31)Pegula J. (4)2 : 1
    13Paolini J. (7)Krueger A. (26)2 : 0
    14Jovic I.Krejcikova B.1 : 2
    15Bronzetti L.Ostapenko J. (23)2 : 1
    16Yastremska D. (32)Gauff C. (WO.) (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    2Rybakina E. (9)Keys M. (6)2 : 1
    3Swiatek I. (3)Cirstea S.2 : 0
    4Alexandrova E. (12)Kalinskaya A. (28)1 : 2
    5Seidel E.Gracheva V.1 : 2
    6Kudermetova V.Linette M. (31)2 : 0
    7Paolini J. (7)Krejcikova B.2 : 0
    8Bronzetti L.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Rybakina E. (9)0 : 2
    2Swiatek I. (3)Kalinskaya A. (28)2 : 0
    3Gracheva V.Kudermetova V.0 : 2
    4Paolini J. (7)Gauff C. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Rybakina E. (9)Swiatek I. (3)0 : 2
    2Kudermetova V.Paolini J. (7)1 : 2

    Final
    1Swiatek I. (3)Paolini J. (7)2 : 0
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