Elfsborg vs Värnamo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Swedish Allsvenskan Elfsborg - Värnamo
Result
2:2
11/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Allsvenskan - Round 19
  • Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)
Elfsborg - Värnamo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.540.88
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
83% (384/460)80% (322/405)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.540.88
xG on target (xGOT)
2.580.60
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
166
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
4620
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
83% (384/460)80% (322/405)
Long passes
40% (24/60)45% (28/62)
Passes in final third
69% (98/143)60% (56/94)
Crosses
29% (12/41)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.720.87
Throw-ins
1325
Fouls
1413
Tackles
67% (12/18)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5544
Clearances
2237
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.602.58
Goals prevented
-1.400.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Thern S. , Kujundzic A. ,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Ostman L. , Zeneli A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Alsalkhadi M. , Zeljkovic A. ,
  • 49', Zeneli A. , Sigurpalsson A. ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Meriluoto K. , Shamoun N. (A),
  • 65', Silverholt T. , Ihler F. ,
  • 65', Ostman L. , Frick P. ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Liimatta O. , Meriluoto K. (A),
  • 77', 2 - 2, Frick P. , Zeneli B. (A),
  • 78', Shamoun N. , Cibicki P. ,
  • 81', Rapp J. , Larsson V. ,
  • 82', Liimatta O. , Andersson H. ,
  • 88', Wenderson , Magnusson J. ,
  • 89', Holmen S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Elfsborg
64.5%
Draw
19.7%
Värnamo
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.6% 20.9% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 20.5% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Elfsborg - Värnamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.51)
    4.77
    (4.51)
    6.02
    (5.71)
    5.8%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Elfsborg - Värnamo?
  • Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 36 - 72%). Värnamo will win (votes: 11 - 22%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 59.6%84.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Värnamo (votes: 6 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 1.
    • Recent performances by Elfsborg have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Värnamo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Elfsborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Elfsborg is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Elfsborg: Pettersson I. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Elfsborg: Hult N. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elfsborg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elfsborg - Värnamo were as follows:
    29.06.2025 Värnamo - Elfsborg 0:0
    10.11.2024 Värnamo - Elfsborg 0:0
    01.04.2024 Elfsborg - Värnamo 2:2
    02.09.2023 Värnamo - Elfsborg 1:0
    14.05.2023 Elfsborg - Värnamo 2:0
    Latest results of Elfsborg
    03.08.2025 Häcken - Elfsborg 1:2
    28.07.2025 Elfsborg - IFK Göteborg 4:3
    19.07.2025 Djurgården - Elfsborg 1:0
    12.07.2025 IFK Göteborg - Elfsborg 1:2
    06.07.2025 Elfsborg - Häcken 0:2
    Latest results of Värnamo
    02.08.2025 Värnamo - GAIS 2:2
    27.07.2025 Värnamo - Hammarby 2:3
    21.07.2025 Norrköping - Värnamo 3:1
    13.07.2025 Värnamo - Djurgården 1:0
    05.07.2025 Hammarby - Värnamo 1:0
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby22165142:162653
    2Hammarby22143542:212145
    3AIK22117428:19940
    4Malmo FF22108434:181638
    5GAIS22108433:201338
    6Goteborg22122831:27438
    7Elfsborg22113837:32536
    8Djurgarden2297628:20834
    9Brommapojkarna22821235:35026
    10Hacken22751032:38-626
    11Norrkoping22741133:43-1025
    12Sirius22651132:36-423
    13Halmstad22631317:42-2521
    14Oster22461217:31-1418
    15Degerfors22441421:44-2316
    16Varnamo22261423:43-2012

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan

    Which TV channels are streaming of Elfsborg - Värnamo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
    swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play
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