Elfsborg vs Värnamo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Swedish Allsvenskan Elfsborg - Värnamo
Result
2:2
11/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Allsvenskan - Round 19
  • Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)
Elfsborg - Värnamo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Elfsborg - Värnamo live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.540.88
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
83% (384/460)80% (322/405)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.540.88
xG on target (xGOT)
2.580.60
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
166
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
4620
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
83% (384/460)80% (322/405)
Long passes
40% (24/60)45% (28/62)
Passes in final third
69% (98/143)60% (56/94)
Crosses
29% (12/41)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.720.87
Throw-ins
1325
Fouls
1413
Tackles
67% (12/18)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5544
Clearances
2237
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.602.58
Goals prevented
-1.400.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Thern S. , Kujundzic A. ,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Ostman L. , Zeneli A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Alsalkhadi M. , Zeljkovic A. ,
  • 49', Zeneli A. , Sigurpalsson A. ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Meriluoto K. , Shamoun N. (A),
  • 65', Silverholt T. , Ihler F. ,
  • 65', Ostman L. , Frick P. ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Liimatta O. , Meriluoto K. (A),
  • 77', 2 - 2, Frick P. , Zeneli B. (A),
  • 78', Shamoun N. , Cibicki P. ,
  • 81', Rapp J. , Larsson V. ,
  • 82', Liimatta O. , Andersson H. ,
  • 88', Wenderson , Magnusson J. ,
  • 89', Holmen S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Elfsborg
64.5%
Draw
19.7%
Värnamo
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.6% 20.9% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 20.5% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Elfsborg - Värnamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.51)
    4.77
    (4.51)
    6.02
    (5.71)
    5.8%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Elfsborg - Värnamo?
  • Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 36 - 72%). Värnamo will win (votes: 11 - 22%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 59.6%84.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Värnamo (votes: 6 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 1.
    • Recent performances by Elfsborg have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Värnamo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Elfsborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Elfsborg is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Elfsborg: Pettersson I. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Elfsborg: Hult N. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elfsborg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elfsborg - Värnamo were as follows:
    29.06.2025 Värnamo - Elfsborg 0:0
    10.11.2024 Värnamo - Elfsborg 0:0
    01.04.2024 Elfsborg - Värnamo 2:2
    02.09.2023 Värnamo - Elfsborg 1:0
    14.05.2023 Elfsborg - Värnamo 2:0
    Latest results of Elfsborg
    03.08.2025 Häcken - Elfsborg 1:2
    28.07.2025 Elfsborg - IFK Göteborg 4:3
    19.07.2025 Djurgården - Elfsborg 1:0
    12.07.2025 IFK Göteborg - Elfsborg 1:2
    06.07.2025 Elfsborg - Häcken 0:2
    Latest results of Värnamo
    02.08.2025 Värnamo - GAIS 2:2
    27.07.2025 Värnamo - Hammarby 2:3
    21.07.2025 Norrköping - Värnamo 3:1
    13.07.2025 Värnamo - Djurgården 1:0
    05.07.2025 Hammarby - Värnamo 1:0
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby24176144:172757
    2Hammarby24154549:242549
    3AIK23127430:201043
    4GAIS24118535:231241
    5Goteborg24132933:29441
    6Malmo FF24109536:211539
    7Djurgarden24108632:23938
    8Elfsborg24114939:36337
    9Brommapojkarna24921337:37029
    10Sirius23751135:36-126
    11Norrkoping23751134:44-1026
    12Hacken24751233:44-1126
    13Oster24571222:35-1322
    14Halmstad23641318:43-2522
    15Degerfors23441521:45-2416
    16Varnamo23261526:47-2112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan

    Which TV channels are streaming of Elfsborg - Värnamo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
    swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan