Result
2:2
30/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : HNL - Round 5
- Referee: Erceg M. (Cro)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.40 | 2.18 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
68% (223/328) | 79% (359/454) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.40 | 2.18 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.20 | 1.77 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 9 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 10 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
12 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
68% (223/328) | 79% (359/454) |
Long passes |
---|
25% (15/61) | 39% (17/44) |
Passes in final third |
---|
53% (49/93) | 62% (79/128) |
Crosses |
---|
40% (2/5) | 29% (7/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.31 | 1.00 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 25 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
87% (13/15) | 47% (7/15) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 55 |
Clearances |
---|
33 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
15 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.77 | 1.20 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.23 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Lisica M. ⚽,
- 25', Stojkovic L. 🟨,
- 45', Jovanov V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Belcar L. ↓, Abdullazada R. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Latkovic A. ⚽, Abdullazada R. (A),
- 65', Stojkovic L. ↓, Villar G. ↑,
- 65', Beljo D. ↓, Kulenovic S. ↑,
- 65', Vidovic G. ↓, Hoxha A. ↑,
- 67', Villar G. 🟨,
- 71', Mamut I. 🟨,
- 72', Duvnjak T. 🟨,
- 73', Latkovic A. ↓, Mamic L. ↑,
- 73', Mamut I. ↓, Dabro M. ↑,
- 73', Ba L. ↓, Puncec R. ↑,
- 76', Lisica M. ↓, Varela C. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Borsic A. ⚽, Dabro M. (A),
- 84', Ljubicic D. ↓, Bakrar M. ↑,
- 85', Tavares I. ↓, Puclin D. ↑,
- 90+1', Jovanov V. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Kulenovic S. (Pen),
- 90+5', Zelenika O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Varaždin 12.8% | Draw 23.5% | Dinamo Zagreb 63.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Varaždin - Dinamo Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
7.51 ↑ (6.82) |
4.02 ↓ (4.27) |
1.5 ↑ (1.45) |
4.7% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Varaždin - Dinamo Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 0.
- Varaždin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Dinamo Zagreb is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Varaždin: Bockaj P.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Galesic N.
(Inactive)
Pierre-Gabriel R.
(Inactive)
Torrente R.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 13:39. (average 0.7:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.7:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Varaždin has won 0 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Varaždin?
Dinamo Zagreb has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Dinamo Zagreb were as follows:
25.05.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Varaždin
1:0
30.03.2025
Varaždin
-
Dinamo Zagreb
1:1
22.12.2024
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Varaždin
3:2
06.10.2024
Varaždin
-
Dinamo Zagreb
0:1
27.04.2024
Varaždin
-
Dinamo Zagreb
0:1
Latest results of Varaždin
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | D. Zagreb | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 13 |
2 | Hajduk Split | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
3 | Lok. Zagreb | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
4 | Varazdin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
5 | Slaven Belupo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
6 | Gorica | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
7 | Rijeka | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
8 | Istra 1961 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
9 | Osijek | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
10 | Vukovar 1991 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
Which TV channels are streaming of Varaždin - Dinamo Zagreb?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Italy | Como TV |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |