Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Starfire Sports (Tukwila, WA).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.48	1.23
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
10	17
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
88% (373/426)	86% (348/406)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48	1.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.12	2.31
Total shots
10	17
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
6	13
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
27	28
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
11	10
Passes
88% (373/426)	86% (348/406)
Long passes
61% (33/54)	61% (35/57)
Passes in final third
76% (97/127)	66% (70/106)
Crosses
24% (5/21)	35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.08	0.54
Throw-ins
23	22
Fouls
11	11
Tackles
50% (9/18)	60% (9/15)
Duels won
56	47
Clearances
22	30
Interceptions
6	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
2.31	1.12
Goals prevented
-0.69	0.12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Pierre N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
57', Pedder R. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
57', Robles D. ↓, Carli E. ↑,
58', Vellios D. ↓, Rogers C. ↑,
59', Coupland A. ↓, Elloumi R. ↑,
72', Burney L. 🟨,
75', Pelayo A. 🟨,
77', 1 - 0, Tsukanome Y. (Pen),
79', 1 - 1, Kachwele C. ⚽, Pierre N. (A), Russo D. (A2)
80', Tsukanome Y. ↓, Hassan O. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Pierre N. ⚽,
89', Dodzi C. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
90+3', Kachwele C. ↓, Sewell R. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 3, Elloumi R. ⚽, Pierre N. (A),
90+7', Elloumi R. 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tacoma Defiance
46%

Draw
22.6%

Vancouver Whitecaps 2
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

22.7%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

22.3%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Whitecaps 2 than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.92)	4.1 ↑ (4.07)	2.96 ↓ (3.18)	7.8% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Whitecaps 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 2.
Tacoma has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Whitecaps 2 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Tacoma will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:36. (average 1.7:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 2.3:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against Vancouver Whitecaps 2?

Tacoma Defiance has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Vancouver Whitecaps 2 won against Tacoma Defiance?

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 were as follows:

14.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Tacoma Defiance 5:0

06.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 5:3

21.09.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Tacoma Defiance 3:1

14.07.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Tacoma Defiance 1:4

21.04.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 0:0

Latest results of Tacoma Defiance

31.08.2025 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 3:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1 ✺

15.08.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1 ✺

10.08.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II 4:2 ✺

01.08.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County 4:6 ✺

Latest results of Vancouver Whitecaps 2

31.08.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Portland Timbers 2 4:1 ✺

21.08.2025 Los Angeles II - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 1:3 ✺

09.08.2025 The Town - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 2:1 ✺

06.08.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - St. Louis City 2 2:4 ✺

31.07.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 2:3 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	25	16	2	2	5	64:52	54
2	New England Revolution II	25	13	5	2	5	48:31	51
3	Philadelphia Union II	25	12	5	3	5	53:28	49
4	Chicago Fire II	25	12	4	2	7	62:45	46
5	Toronto FC II	26	10	2	4	10	32:38	38
6	New York City II	26	9	2	4	11	50:56	35
7	Cincinnati 2	24	5	7	0	12	27:35	29
8	Columbus Crew 2	26	5	1	4	16	34:57	21

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Chattanooga	24	11	4	3	6	39:35	44
2	Huntsville	25	11	4	2	8	48:31	43
3	Carolina Core	25	8	4	4	9	39:38	36
4	Orlando City B	25	9	3	2	11	34:47	35
5	Atlanta United 2	24	7	2	6	9	37:39	31
6	Crown Legacy	26	6	3	5	12	44:53	29
7	Inter Miami II	25	6	0	5	14	36:62	23

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	24	12	4	2	6	52:32	46
2	Real Monarchs	26	11	4	4	7	47:39	45
3	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	26	11	4	1	10	59:48	42
4	Ventura County	25	10	2	4	9	46:44	38
5	Los Angeles FC II	26	9	2	1	14	44:56	32
6	Portland Timbers 2	25	8	2	4	11	42:49	32
7	Tacoma Defiance	25	8	2	2	13	55:62	30

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	26	17	4	1	4	58:34	60
2	Colorado Rapids 2	25	13	1	4	7	48:37	45
3	Minnesota 2	25	10	2	4	9	39:38	38
4	Austin FC II	26	9	3	5	9	32:33	38
5	North Texas	25	9	4	2	10	38:49	37
6	Houston Dynamo 2	26	8	4	2	12	36:41	34
7	Sporting Kansas City II	26	3	2	4	17	28:62	17

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2 ✔	25	16	2	2	5	64:52	54
2	New England Revolution II ✔	25	13	5	2	5	48:31	51
3	Philadelphia Union II ✔	25	12	5	3	5	53:28	49
4	Chicago Fire II ✔	25	12	4	2	7	62:45	46
5	Chattanooga ✔	24	11	4	3	6	39:35	44
6	Huntsville ✔	25	11	4	2	8	48:31	43
7	Toronto FC II	26	10	2	4	10	32:38	38
8	Carolina Core	25	8	4	4	9	39:38	36
9	New York City II	26	9	2	4	11	50:56	35
10	Orlando City B	25	9	3	2	11	34:47	35
11	Atlanta United 2	24	7	2	6	9	37:39	31
12	Crown Legacy	26	6	3	5	12	44:53	29
13	Cincinnati 2	24	5	7	0	12	27:35	29
14	Inter Miami II	25	6	0	5	14	36:62	23
15	Columbus Crew 2	26	5	1	4	16	34:57	21

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2 ✔	26	17	4	1	4	58:34	60
2	Town FC ✔	24	12	4	2	6	52:32	46
3	Colorado Rapids 2	25	13	1	4	7	48:37	45
4	Real Monarchs	26	11	4	4	7	47:39	45
5	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	26	11	4	1	10	59:48	42
6	Ventura County	25	10	2	4	9	46:44	38
7	Minnesota 2	25	10	2	4	9	39:38	38
8	Austin FC II	26	9	3	5	9	32:33	38
9	North Texas	25	9	4	2	10	38:49	37
10	Houston Dynamo 2	26	8	4	2	12	36:41	34
11	Los Angeles FC II	26	9	2	1	14	44:56	32
12	Portland Timbers 2	25	8	2	4	11	42:49	32
13	Tacoma Defiance	25	8	2	2	13	55:62	30
14	Sporting Kansas City II	26	3	2	4	17	28:62	17

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New England Revolution II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Huntsville is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Town FC is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2?

It is being streamed on channel


Usa	MLS Next Pro