HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Canadian Premier League HFX Wanderers - Vancouver FC
Result
1:2
04/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers - Vancouver FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.351.52
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
82% (376/459)69% (212/306)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.351.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.172.41
Total shots
157
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
3811
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
82% (376/459)69% (212/306)
Long passes
55% (28/51)28% (18/65)
Passes in final third
70% (104/148)42% (32/76)
Crosses
36% (10/28)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.380.21
Throw-ins
1821
Fouls
1413
Tackles
61% (11/18)68% (13/19)
Duels won
5858
Clearances
2240
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
2.411.17
Goals prevented
0.410.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 40', 0 - 1, Campagna M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 0 - 2, Mbongue H. ,
  • 54', Johnston I. 🟨,
  • 58', Rampersad A. , Bahamboula J. ,
  • 59', Timoteo W. , Vitor Dias ,
  • 65', Michel , Essoussi M. ,
  • 65', Mbongue H. , Pathe N. ,
  • 70', Bai Y. , Rea S. ,
  • 79', Campbell T. , Gee P. ,
  • 81', Johnston I. , Biello A. ,
  • 82', Pearlman A. , Alphonse J. ,
  • 83', Fry V. 🟨,
  • 84', Essoussi M. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 2, Meilleur-Gigeuere T. ,
  • 90+4', Mezquida N. , Powell T. ,

Chances of winning


HFX Wanderers
56%
Draw
22.3%
Vancouver FC
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.6% 22.9% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 19.4% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HFX Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Vancouver FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HFX Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver FC than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • HFX Wanderers - Vancouver FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.52)
    4.1
    (3.94)
    4.2
    (5.17)
    9.5%
    (10.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for HFX Wanderers - Vancouver FC?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. HFX Wanderers will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Vancouver FC will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for HFX Wanderers: 68.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. HFX Wanderers (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 4.
    • In recent matches, HFX Wanderers has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Vancouver FC has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, HFX Wanderers is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, HFX Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HFX Wanderers - Vancouver FC were as follows:
    21.06.2025 HFX Wanderers - Vancouver FC 1:0
    17.05.2025 Vancouver FC - HFX Wanderers 0:2
    05.10.2024 HFX Wanderers - Vancouver FC 1:1
    05.08.2024 HFX Wanderers - Vancouver FC 3:2
    23.06.2024 Vancouver FC - HFX Wanderers 0:4
    Latest results of HFX Wanderers
    Latest results of Vancouver FC
    25.07.2025 Vancouver FC - Valour 1:3
    19.07.2025 York United - Vancouver FC 4:0
    13.07.2025 Vancouver FC - Cavalry 0:0
    08.07.2025 Cavalry - Vancouver FC 1:2
    05.07.2025 Forge - Vancouver FC 2:1
    Canadian Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Forge20137038:132546
    2Atl. Ottawa20117239:211840
    3Cavalry2086630:22830
    4York Utd2085733:231029
    5HFX Wanderers2085728:25329
    6Pacific FC20541122:39-1719
    7Valour20431320:47-2715
    8Vancouver FC20251323:43-2011

          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of HFX Wanderers - Vancouver FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaOneSoccer
    usaUsaFox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
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