Cavalry vs Vancouver FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Canadian Premier League Cavalry - Vancouver FC
Result
5:4
17/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Canadian Premier League
Cavalry - Vancouver FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.111.50
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
106
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
86% (355/414)80% (252/315)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
3.111.50
xG on target (xGOT)
3.832.42
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
106
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2824
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
86% (355/414)80% (252/315)
Long passes
45% (20/44)52% (30/58)
Passes in final third
73% (83/114)62% (58/94)
Crosses
62% (8/13)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.69
Throw-ins
2512
Fouls
1114
Tackles
77% (10/13)74% (14/19)
Duels won
4549
Clearances
1119
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
2.423.83
Goals prevented
-1.58-1.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Ntignee G. ,
  • 5', 2 - 0, Warschewski T. ,
  • 18', 2 - 1, Mezquida N. (Pen),
  • 26', 3 - 1, Baldisimo M. ,
  • 33', 3 - 2, Campbell T. ,
  • 38', Mbongue H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 48', Dada-Luke K. 🟨,
  • 59', 3 - 3, Mbongue H. ,
  • 59', Baldisimo M. 🟨,
  • 62', O'Connor A. 🟨,
  • 62', Warschewski T. (Pen),
  • 63', Fry V. , Michel ,
  • 65', Gutierrez D. , Klomp D. ,
  • 65', Baldisimo M. , Piepgrass M. ,
  • 71', Fewo , Gherasimencov M. ,
  • 71', Camargo S. , Sellouf A. ,
  • 73', Campagna M. , Fotsing E. ,
  • 73', Mbongue H. , Pathe N. ,
  • 82', Warschewski T. , Elva C. ,
  • 85', Bah E. , Powell T. ,
  • 85', Campbell T. , Juan Batista ,
  • 89', 4 - 3, Gherasimencov M. , Musse A. (A),
  • 90+4', Carducci M. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 4 - 4, Fotsing E. , Mezquida N. (A),
  • 90+8', 5 - 4, Klomp D. , Piepgrass M. (A),

Chances of winning


Cavalry
61.7%
Draw
22.5%
Vancouver FC
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 23.4% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 22% 17.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cavalry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Vancouver FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver FC than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Cavalry - Vancouver FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.58)
    4.07
    (3.9)
    5.77
    (4.8)
    9.4%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 0.
    • Cavalry is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Vancouver FC's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cavalry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cavalry is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cavalry won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cavalry - Vancouver FC were as follows:
    13.07.2025 Vancouver FC - Cavalry 0:0
    08.07.2025 Cavalry - Vancouver FC 1:2
    21.05.2025 Vancouver FC - Cavalry 1:1
    18.04.2025 Cavalry - Vancouver FC 1:1
    28.09.2024 Cavalry - Vancouver FC 0:0
    Latest results of Cavalry
    09.08.2025 Cavalry - HFX Wanderers 0:0
    04.08.2025 Pacific FC - Cavalry 1:0
    29.07.2025 Valour - Cavalry 2:1
    26.07.2025 Cavalry - York United 0:1
    20.07.2025 Valour - Cavalry 1:2
    Latest results of Vancouver FC
    Canadian Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Forge20137038:132546
    2Atl. Ottawa20117239:211840
    3Cavalry2086630:22830
    4York Utd2085733:231029
    5HFX Wanderers2085728:25329
    6Pacific FC20541122:39-1719
    7Valour20431320:47-2715
    8Vancouver FC20251323:43-2011

          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Cavalry - Vancouver FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaOneSoccer
    usaUsaFox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
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