Vancouver FC vs Cavalry: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Canadian Championship Vancouver FC - Cavalry
Result
1:1
21/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Villanueva R. (Can)
Vancouver FC - Cavalry - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.54
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
72% (199/277)82% (361/439)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.211.47
Total shots
129
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2124
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
917
Passes
72% (199/277)82% (361/439)
Long passes
39% (21/54)59% (40/68)
Passes in final third
61% (79/129)71% (89/125)
Crosses
44% (7/16)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.50
Throw-ins
2033
Fouls
179
Tackles
81% (17/21)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4344
Clearances
338
Interceptions
1212
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.471.21
Goals prevented
0.470.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', O'Connor A. 🟨,
  • 25', Gherasimencov M. 🟨,
  • 28', Bah E. 🟨,
  • 29', Piepgrass M. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Norman D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', Diaz A. 🟨,
  • 51', Fry V. 🟨,
  • 59', Essoussi M. , Fotsing E. ,
  • 59', Musse A. , Aird F. ,
  • 59', Piepgrass M. , Daley J. ,
  • 67', Henry M. , Camargo S. ,
  • 73', Diaz A. , Enyou A. ,
  • 76', Herdman J. , Chanda C. ,
  • 76', Shome S. , Myroniuk N. ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Warschewski T. , Wahling N. (A),
  • 86', Campbell T. , Juan Batista ,

Chances of winning


Vancouver FC
22.4%
Draw
24.8%
Cavalry
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 26.2% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 26.1% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vancouver FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vancouver FC's form might have worsened.
  • Cavalry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cavalry's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver FC than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vancouver FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cavalry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vancouver FC - Cavalry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.1
    (2.54)
    3.71
    (3.48)
    1.74
    (2.42)
    8.7%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver FC won 0.
    • Recent performances by Vancouver FC have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cavalry is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cavalry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cavalry might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vancouver FC won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.6:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vancouver FC won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vancouver FC - Cavalry were as follows:
    18.04.2025 Cavalry - Vancouver FC 1:1
    28.09.2024 Cavalry - Vancouver FC 0:0
    26.07.2024 Vancouver FC - Cavalry 0:1
    16.06.2024 Vancouver FC - Cavalry 0:0
    03.05.2024 Cavalry - Vancouver FC 3:1
    Latest results of Vancouver FC
    06.05.2025 Pacific FC - Vancouver FC 1:2
    03.05.2025 Valour - Vancouver FC 1:3
    26.04.2025 Vancouver FC - Pacific FC 1:1
    18.04.2025 Cavalry - Vancouver FC 1:1
    Latest results of Cavalry
    17.05.2025 Cavalry - Pacific FC 4:0
    10.05.2025 HFX Wanderers - Cavalry 0:3
    02.05.2025 York United - Cavalry 1:2
    26.04.2025 Cavalry - Atlético Ottawa 1:3
    18.04.2025 Cavalry - Vancouver FC 1:1
    Draw
    2025

    1/8-finals
    1Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    2ValourTSS Rovers1 : 0
    3CavalryEdmonton Scottish6 : 0
    4Pacific FCVancouver FC1 : 2
    5York UtdFC Laval5 : 0
    6Atl. OttawaScrosoppi2 : 0
    7Toronto FCCF Montreal2 : 3
    8ForgeHFX Wanderers3 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Vancouver WhitecapsValour2 : 2
    2CavalryVancouver FC1 : 1
    3York UtdAtl. Ottawa1 : 2
    4CF MontrealForge0 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Vancouver FC - Cavalry?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaOneSoccer
    usaUsaFox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com
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