Result
3:2
14/06/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Besta deild karla - Round 11
- Referee: Kristjansson I. O. (Ice)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (295/370) | 81% (354/436) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.08 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (295/370) | 81% (354/436) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (34/63) | 33% (20/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (98/146) | 63% (75/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 3.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Gunnarsson J. ⚽, Nokkvason G. (A),
- 26', 1 - 1, Pedersen P. ⚽, Kjartansson O. (A),
- 34', Atlason E. 🟨,
- 45', Nakkim M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Kjartansson K. ↓, Thorisson T. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 1, Atlason E. ⚽, Gunnarsson J. (A),
- 69', 3 - 1, Nokkvason G. ⚽,
- 71', Kjartansson O. ↓, Palsson A. ↑,
- 71', Haraldsson T. ↓, Larusson S. ↑,
- 72', Heimisson L. ↓, Skoglund A. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 2, Pedersen P. ⚽, Omarsson O. (A),
- 79', Antonsson B. 🟥,
- 82', Gunnarsson J. ↓, Brink H. O. ↑,
- 82', Thorisson T. 🟨,
- 90+6', Sigurdsson K. 🟨,
- 90+6', Birgisson A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Stjarnan
26.8% | Draw
22.7% | Valur
50.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Stjarnan - Valur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.46 ↓
(3.82) |
4.08 ↓
(4.34) |
1.84 ↑
(1.76) |
7.7%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Stjarnan - Valur?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Stjarnan will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Valur will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valur: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Valur (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 2.
- Recent performances by Stjarnan have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Valur is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Valur might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:39. (average 1.4:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stjarnan won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Stjarnan won against Valur?
Stjarnan has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valur won against Stjarnan?
Valur has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stjarnan - Valur were as follows:
23.09.2024
Valur
-
Stjarnan
2:2
30.05.2024
Valur
-
Stjarnan
5:1
19.04.2024
Stjarnan
-
Valur
1:0
17.09.2023
Valur
-
Stjarnan
2:0
17.07.2023
Stjarnan
-
Valur
2:0
Latest results of Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 26:14 | 12 | 29 |
| 2 | Breidablik | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24:18 | 6 | 26 |
| 3 | Valur | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 35:19 | 16 | 24 |
| 4 | Stjarnan | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 20 |
| 5 | Fram | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21:18 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | Vestri | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 13:11 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Afturelding | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 17 |
| 8 | KR Reykjavik | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 34:34 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Hafnarfjordur | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 19:19 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Vestmannaeyjar | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:21 | -8 | 14 |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:25 | -13 | 12 |
| 12 | Akranes | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 15:31 | -16 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Stjarnan - Valur?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
