Result
1:2
14/09/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Besta deild karla - Round 22
- Referee: Thrastarson S. H. (Ice)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.64 | 1.80 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 24 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
81% (331/410) | 77% (259/336) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.64 | 1.80 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.80 | 1.41 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 24 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 11 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 15 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 15 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
32 | 42 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
81% (331/410) | 77% (259/336) |
Long passes |
---|
52% (25/48) | 44% (28/63) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (87/130) | 63% (60/95) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (5/17) | 34% (12/35) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.42 | 2.13 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (9/15) | 56% (9/16) |
Duels won |
---|
47 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
43 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.41 | 1.80 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.59 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 10', Heimisson B. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 1, Bjarnason A. ⚽,
- 17', 1 - 1, Heimisson L. ⚽, Agustsson S. (A),
- 31', Nokkvason G. 🟨,
- 32', Tufegdzic S. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 2, Eggertsson O. ⚽, Waren B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 73', Bjarnason A. ↓, Gudlaugsson B. ↑,
- 76', Skoglund A. ↓, Palsson A. ↑,
- 76', Lundemo M. ↓, Gunnarsson H. ↑,
- 78', Fridjonsson S. 🟨,
- 78', Palsson A. 🟨,
- 86', Sigurdsson K. ↓, Stefansson S. ↑,
- 86', Palsson J. ↓, Jonsson B. ↑,
- 87', Gunnarsson J. ↓, Ingimarsson S. T. ↑,
- 90', Fridjonsson S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Valur 41.2% | Draw 26.8% | Stjarnan 32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valur's form might have worsened.Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stjarnan's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+15.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stjarnan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Valur - Stjarnan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.75 ↑ (1.68) |
4.23 ↑ (4.15) |
3.55 ↓ (4.05) |
-11.8% (8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Valur - Stjarnan?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Valur will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Stjarnan will win (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
- Stjarnan is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valur won 2.
- Recent performances by Valur have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Stjarnan is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Valur is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valur won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 41:28. (average 2.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Valur won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:12. (average 2.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Valur won against Stjarnan?
Valur has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stjarnan won against Valur?
Stjarnan has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valur - Stjarnan were as follows:
01.07.2025
Valur
-
Stjarnan
3:1
14.06.2025
Stjarnan
-
Valur
3:2
23.09.2024
Valur
-
Stjarnan
2:2
30.05.2024
Valur
-
Stjarnan
5:1
19.04.2024
Stjarnan
-
Valur
1:0
Latest results of Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 49:28 | 21 | 45 |
2 | Stjarnan | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 41 |
3 | Valur | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 53:35 | 18 | 40 |
4 | Breidablik | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 37:35 | 2 | 34 |
5 | Hafnarfjordur | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 31 |
6 | Fram | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Valur - Stjarnan?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Brazil | Canal GOAT |
Iceland | SÝN Sport Ísland, SÝN Sport Ísland 3 |
World | Onefootball |