Málaga vs Valladolid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Málaga - Valladolid
Result
3:3
07/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga2 - Round 29
  • Referee: Morilla A. (Esp)
Málaga - Valladolid - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.221.52
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
66
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
09
Passes
83% (298/361)85% (297/351)
Yellow cards
43
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
2.221.52
xG on target (xGOT)
2.972.09
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
16
Shots inside the box
611
Shots outside the box
46
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
09
Touches in opposition box
1328
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
12
Free kicks
2115
Passes
83% (298/361)85% (297/351)
Long passes
41% (22/54)50% (19/38)
Passes in final third
72% (63/88)77% (79/103)
Crosses
14% (1/7)27% (9/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.261.23
Throw ins
2224
Fouls
1521
Tackles
78% (14/18)47% (9/19)
Duels won
7260
Clearances
2417
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
2.092.97
Goals prevented
0.09-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Chupe (Penalty Awarded),
  • 14', 2 - 0, Dotor C. ,
  • 29', Montero J. 🟨,
  • 36', Clerc C. , Garriel I. ,
  • 45+6', 2 - 1, Peter Federico , Juric S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Montero J. , Recio A. ,
  • 48', 3 - 1, Chupe , Garcia V. (A),
  • 56', Garcia V. 🟥,
  • 58', Munoz J. , Gabilondo J. ,
  • 64', Ponceau J. , Meseguer Cavas V. A. ,
  • 64', Canos S. , Latasa J. ,
  • 65', 3 - 2, Chupe (Own goal),
  • 66', Martinez R. 🟨,
  • 72', Chupe , Nino A. ,
  • 72', Dotor C. , Rodriguez R. ,
  • 84', Peter Federico , Biuk S. ,
  • 84', Juric S. , Erlien V. ,
  • 85', Gabilondo J. 🟨,
  • 88', Lorenzo D. , Juanpe ,
  • 90+1', Juanpe 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 3, Latasa J. , Chuki (A),
  • 90+6', Latasa J. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Merino I. 🟨,
  • 90+13', Tomeo P. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5n7ymbwt

Chances of winning


Málaga
43.9%
Draw
29%
Valladolid
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 27% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 27.2% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Málaga - Valladolid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (1.97)
    3.22
    (3.5)
    3.48
    (3.78)
    6.5%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Málaga - Valladolid?
    • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 38.8%86.2%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH 0 - Málaga (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 1.
    • Recent performances by Málaga have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Valladolid is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Málaga might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D. (Knee Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Galilea E. (Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Puga C. (Yellow Cards) Sanchez D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Valladolid: Bueno G. (Injury) Maroto M. (Coach's decision) Ndiaye A. (Leg Injury) Torres D. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Valladolid were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Valladolid - Málaga 1:1
    Latest results of Málaga
    28.02.2026 Granada - Málaga 0:1
    16.02.2026 Real Sociedad B - Málaga 2:1
    08.02.2026 Málaga - Leonesa 2:1
    02.02.2026 Mirandés - Málaga 2:1
    Latest results of Valladolid
    28.02.2026 Valladolid - Huesca 1:0
    14.02.2026 Granada - Valladolid 5:1
    08.02.2026 Valladolid - Castellón 0:4
    31.01.2026 Córdoba - Valladolid 3:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2026/27
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gijon00000:000
    2Cordoba00000:000
    3Las Palmas00000:000
    4Castellon00000:000
    5Tenerife00000:000
    6Albacete00000:000
    7Eibar00000:000
    8Cadiz CF00000:000
    9Burgos CF00000:000
    10Mallorca00000:000
    11Almeria00000:000
    12Valladolid00000:000
    13Girona00000:000
    14Real Sociedad B00000:000
    15Celta Vigo B00000:000
    16Leganes00000:000
    17Sabadell00000:000
    18Ceuta00000:000
    19Granada CF00000:000
    20Oviedo00000:000
    21Eldense00000:000
    22Andorra00000:000

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Málaga - Valladolid?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
    mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2
    peruPeruDisney+
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
    portugalPortugalDAZN / App
    romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
    singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
    spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Orange Futbol 2
    thailandThailandbeIN SPORTS MAX
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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