Valladolid vs Leonesa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Valladolid - Leonesa
Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga2 - Round 7
Valladolid - Leonesa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Valladolid - Leonesa live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.47
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
82% (446/543)62% (153/248)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.041.32
Total shots
189
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
143
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
309
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
2114
Passes
82% (446/543)62% (153/248)
Long passes
66% (51/77)24% (17/72)
Passes in final third
70% (147/209)49% (23/47)
Crosses
28% (9/32)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.810.38
Throw-ins
3516
Fouls
1421
Tackles
76% (13/17)59% (13/22)
Duels won
7759
Clearances
1841
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.320.04
Goals prevented
0.320.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Collado D. , Sobrino R. (A),
  • 19', Hinojo R. 🟨,
  • 23', Almada G. 🟨,
  • 33', Latasa J. 🟨,
  • 38', Alejo I. 🟨,
  • 41', Ndiaye A. , Peter Federico ,
  • 45', Tomeo P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Bueno G. , Garriel I. ,
  • 59', Ponceau J. , Canos S. ,
  • 64', Collado D. 🟨,
  • 72', Biuk S. , Delgado J. ,
  • 73', Lachuer M. , Alani I. ,
  • 73', Bicho , Gonzalez Y. ,
  • 73', Collado D. , Larios J. ,
  • 74', Garcia V. , Barzic M. ,
  • 75', Ribeiro T. 🟨,
  • 80', Pibe , Diallo Selu M. ,
  • 83', Alejo I. , Trilli ,
  • 84', Hinojo R. , Cortes P. ,
  • 88', Sobrino R. , Justo M. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mr2ffu43

Chances of winning


Valladolid
58.6%
Draw
23.7%
Leonesa
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 21.2% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6% 20.7% 13.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valladolid's form might have worsened.
  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valladolid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Valladolid - Leonesa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.46)
    4.05
    (4.48)
    5.43
    (6.84)
    1.5%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Valladolid - Leonesa?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Leonesa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Valladolid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Valladolid is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Valladolid: Chuki (Injury) Delgado J. (Injury) Jaouab M. (Injury) Marcos Andre (Injury) Maroto M. (Health problems)
    • There will not play in Leonesa: Calero I. (Red Card) Maestre S. (Knee Injury) Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Tresaco R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leonesa: Barzic M. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 3:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Valladolid won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    Latest results of Valladolid
    13.09.2025 Valladolid - Almería 3:1
    06.09.2025 Zaragoza - Valladolid 1:1
    30.08.2025 Valladolid - Córdoba 0:0
    22.08.2025 Castellón - Valladolid 0:1
    Latest results of Leonesa
    20.09.2025 Leonesa - Castellón 1:3
    14.09.2025 Racing Santander - Leonesa 2:4
    10.09.2025 Alcorcón - Leonesa 0:1
    07.09.2025 Leonesa - Leganés 0:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. La Coruna844017:61116
    2Racing Santander851221:14716
    3Cadiz CF84319:6315
    4Las Palmas94328:5315
    5Almeria943218:16215
    6Andorra942313:13014
    7Huesca84138:10-213
    8Burgos CF833213:9412
    9Valladolid83329:6312
    10Eibar832310:7311
    11Castellon832313:12111
    12Leganes92528:7111
    13Ceuta83238:12-411
    14Albacete823314:16-29
    15Real Sociedad B923414:16-29
    16Gijon830511:14-39
    17Cordoba82339:12-39
    18Mirandes92349:12-39
    19Granada CF923411:15-49
    20Malaga82246:10-48
    21Cultural Leonesa82247:12-58
    22Zaragoza91356:12-66

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Valladolid - Leonesa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play
    peruPeruDisney+
    spainSpainDAZN Espana, Orange Futbol 2
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan