Valladolid vs Almería: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Valladolid - Almería
Result
3:1
13/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga2 - Round 5
  • Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
Valladolid - Almería - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.042.05
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
65% (192/294)77% (355/464)
Yellow Cards
55
Expected Goals (xG)
2.042.05
xG on target (xGOT)
2.991.89
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
07
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2718
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1227
Passes
65% (192/294)77% (355/464)
Long passes
41% (27/66)45% (32/71)
Passes in final third
47% (48/103)64% (89/138)
Crosses
19% (5/26)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.63
Throw-ins
2226
Fouls
2813
Tackles
60% (9/15)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4768
Clearances
1720
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.892.99
Goals prevented
0.89-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', Guilherme Fernandes 🟨,
  • 13', Embarba A. (Pen),
  • 14', Monte N. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Marcos Andre ,
  • 37', Gui Guedes 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Gui Guedes , Horta A. ,
  • 56', Alejo I. 🟨,
  • 56', Leo Baptistao 🟨,
  • 62', Ndiaye A. , Peter Federico ,
  • 64', Embarba A. , Puigmal A. ,
  • 71', Meseguer Cavas V. A. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Arribas S. (Pen),
  • 73', Chirino D. , Luna M. ,
  • 74', Leo Baptistao , Thalys ,
  • 76', Marcos Andre , Latasa J. ,
  • 76', Alejo I. , Trilli ,
  • 77', Peter Federico 🟨,
  • 79', Monte N. , Hernandez A. ,
  • 84', Ponceau J. , Maroto M. ,
  • 84', Meseguer Cavas V. A. , Alani I. ,
  • 90+1', Bonini F. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Latasa J. (Pen),
  • 90+5', Dzodic S. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Latasa J. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 3 - 1, Maroto M. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2s4fxabx

Chances of winning


Valladolid
39%
Draw
33.7%
Almería
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 27% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 26.7% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almería might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almería could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Valladolid - Almería Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (2.35)
    2.99
    (3.48)
    3.82
    (2.85)
    -4.1%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Valladolid - Almería?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Almería will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 35.2%84.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 2.
    • Valladolid is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Almería has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Almería may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Valladolid: Jaouab M. (Injury) Marcos Andre (Injury)
    • There will not play in Almería: Iribarne B. (Inactive) Lopy D. (Red Card) Monte N. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Almería: Chumi (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Valladolid - Almería were as follows:
    28.05.2023 Almería - Valladolid 0:0
    05.09.2022 Valladolid - Almería 1:0
    Latest results of Valladolid
    06.09.2025 Zaragoza - Valladolid 1:1
    30.08.2025 Valladolid - Córdoba 0:0
    22.08.2025 Castellón - Valladolid 0:1
    15.08.2025 Valladolid - Ceuta 3:0
    09.08.2025 Burgos - Valladolid 2:2
    Latest results of Almería
    29.08.2025 Real Sociedad B - Almería 2:2
    24.08.2025 Leonesa - Almería 0:1
    10.08.2025 Almería - Al-Nassr Riyadh 3:2
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander540115:10512
    2Dep. La Coruna532011:4711
    3Valladolid53208:2611
    4Cadiz CF53208:5311
    5Andorra53119:6310
    6Huesca53116:4210
    7Gijon53026:519
    8Burgos CF52219:548
    9Las Palmas52216:428
    10Malaga52215:418
    11Eibar52127:437
    12Leganes51406:427
    13Mirandes52037:9-26
    14Real Sociedad B51227:8-15
    15Almeria512210:12-25
    16Cordoba51135:9-44
    17Cultural Leonesa51135:9-44
    18Ceuta51136:12-64
    19Zaragoza50323:6-33
    20Castellon50236:10-42
    21Albacete50238:13-52
    22Granada CF50144:12-81

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Valladolid - Almería?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
    australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
    ecuadorEcuadorDSports 9
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
    peruPeruDSports 9
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    portugalPortugalDAZN / App
    romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Orange Futbol 2
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
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