Vålerenga vs Sarpsborg 08: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Norwegian Eliteserien Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08
Result
4:0
17/08/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eliteserien - Round 18
  • Referee: Stofringshaug M. (Nor)
Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.050.87
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
82% (357/437)82% (365/443)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.050.87
xG on target (xGOT)
2.620.05
Total shots
199
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
3923
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
119
Passes
82% (357/437)82% (365/443)
Long passes
44% (27/61)39% (16/41)
Passes in final third
73% (132/180)74% (89/121)
Crosses
32% (7/22)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.480.97
Throw-ins
1815
Fouls
911
Tackles
80% (12/15)100% (3/3)
Duels won
4231
Clearances
2325
Interceptions
1513
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.052.62
Goals prevented
0.05-1.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', Wichne E. , Reinhardsen P. ,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Sorensen E. , Bjordal H. (A),
  • 42', 2 - 0, Sorensen E. , Ofkir M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Job D. , Opoku M. ,
  • 46', Tangen H. , Bruseth H. ,
  • 46', Koch M. 🟨,
  • 50', Ambina F. 🟨,
  • 71', Hedenstad V. , Sjatil H. ,
  • 71', Sorensen E. , Strand P. ,
  • 72', Halvorsen V. E. , Berget J. ,
  • 74', Odegaard M. 🟨,
  • 75', 3 - 0, Vinicius Nogueira ,
  • 77', 4 - 0, Ofkir M. , Bjordal H. (A),
  • 78', Lange C. , Hagen E. ,
  • 78', Vinicius Nogueira , Pallas N. ,
  • 78', Hiim A. , Skuseth N. ,
  • 80', Grundetjern M. , Thorvaldsen F. ,

Chances of winning


Vålerenga
63%
Draw
20.5%
Sarpsborg 08
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 23.5% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 22.8% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vålerenga's performance.
  • Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarpsborg 08 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vålerenga that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarpsborg 08 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (2.05)
    5.53
    (4)
    7.06
    (3.05)
    -10.7%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08?
  • Users Predictions: Vålerenga will win (36 of 41 users predict this - 87.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.78%97.82%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vålerenga will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 2.
    • Recent performances by Vålerenga have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sarpsborg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Vålerenga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Vålerenga might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Vålerenga: Bully O. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F. (Thigh Injury) Ndiaye M. (Red Card) Sher A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vålerenga: Lange C. (Injury) Tshiembe K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Jeahze M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:32. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vålerenga won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08 were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Sarpsborg 08 - Vålerenga 1:1
    01.02.2025 Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08 1:0
    09.03.2024 Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08 5:3
    05.11.2023 Sarpsborg 08 - Vålerenga 3:2
    16.04.2023 Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08 0:2
    Latest results of Vålerenga
    03.08.2025 Vålerenga - Sandefjord 2:1
    26.07.2025 Bodø Glimt - Vålerenga 7:2
    20.07.2025 Vålerenga - Haugesund 3:0
    13.07.2025 Bryne - Vålerenga 1:0
    05.07.2025 Vålerenga - Fredrikstad 1:1
    Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
    10.08.2025 Haugesund - Sarpsborg 08 3:2
    02.08.2025 Sarpsborg 08 - Brann 1:4
    26.07.2025 Sandefjord - Sarpsborg 08 3:2
    18.07.2025 Sarpsborg 08 - Rosenborg 2:2
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bodo/Glimt20143351:183345
    2Viking20143349:272245
    3Brann19114435:28737
    4Tromso20113632:27536
    5Valerenga2093834:32230
    6Rosenborg1986525:23230
    7Sandefjord1991936:28828
    8KFUM Oslo2076731:24727
    9Fredrikstad1976625:22327
    10Molde2083928:26227
    11Sarpsborg 082067731:30125
    12Kristiansund2066823:35-1224
    13HamKam2056922:34-1221
    14Bryne20551025:35-1020
    15Stromsgodset20411526:45-1913
    16Haugesund20131612:51-396

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Eliteserien (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen

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