Sarpsborg 08 vs Vålerenga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Norwegian Eliteserien Sarpsborg 08 - Vålerenga
Result
1:1
06/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eliteserien - Round 2
  • Referee: Lien M. (Nor)
Sarpsborg 08 - Vålerenga - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.83
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
84% (457/547)83% (313/379)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.960.57
Total shots
118
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
4711
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1418
Passes
84% (457/547)83% (313/379)
Long passes
49% (30/61)57% (27/47)
Passes in final third
77% (174/225)81% (111/137)
Crosses
31% (11/35)24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
3.040.92
Fouls
1814
Tackles
82% (9/11)61% (14/23)
Duels won
3559
Clearances Total
1847
Interceptions
716
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.570.96
Goals prevented
-0.43-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', Hedenstad V. , Vinicius Nogueira ,
  • 23', Sorensen E. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Riisnaes M. , Bjordal H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', Berget J. , Carstensen F. ,
  • 63', Halvorsen V. E. , Sandberg N. ,
  • 66', Christiansen S. 🟨,
  • 66', Sorensen E. , Strand P. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Carstensen F. , Sandberg N. (A),
  • 78', Brajanac M. , Rijks M. ,
  • 78', Riisnaes M. , Hagen E. ,
  • 78', Vinicius Nogueira , Tshiembe K. ,
  • 81', Tangen H. , Sanyang A. ,
  • 90', Sandberg N. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Karlsbakk D. , Gudjohnsen S. ,

Chances of winning


Sarpsborg 08
42.2%
Draw
26.8%
Vålerenga
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 26% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 25.5% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Sarpsborg 08 - Vålerenga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.23)
    3.55
    (3.68)
    3.06
    (3.08)
    4.9%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 - Vålerenga?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sarpsborg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Sarpsborg 08 will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sarpsborg won 2.
    • Sarpsborg is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Vålerenga is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recently Sarpsborg have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Vålerenga have a series of home games.
    • Sarpsborg will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sarpsborg: Hiim A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Vålerenga: Borchgrevink C. (Knee Injury) Bully O. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Sarpsborg won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 33:27 (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sarpsborg won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:5 (average 1.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarpsborg 08 - Vålerenga were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08 1:0
    09.03.2024 Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08 5:3
    05.11.2023 Sarpsborg 08 - Vålerenga 3:2
    16.04.2023 Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08 0:2
    27.01.2023 Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08 4:1
    Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
    Latest results of Vålerenga
    22.03.2025 Brann - Vålerenga 2:1
    15.03.2025 Vålerenga - Tromsø 1:4
    07.03.2025 Vålerenga - Strømsgodset 0:1
    08.02.2025 Vålerenga - Skeid 5:2
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Viking17113342:241836
    2Tromso14101327:18931
    3Brann1693427:24330
    4Bodo/Glimt1492332:131929
    5Rosenborg1676319:16327
    6Sandefjord1480628:181024
    7Sarpsborg 081457223:14922
    8Fredrikstad1664620:18222
    9Kristiansund1654718:26-819
    10KFUM Oslo1453620:19118
    11Valerenga1553720:20018
    12Bryne1453620:24-418
    13Molde1552822:23-117
    14HamKam1435614:25-1114
    15Stromsgodset14201217:33-166
    16Haugesund1502135:39-342

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Eliteserien (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen

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