Las Palmas vs Valencia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas).

: LaLiga - Round 34
Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.82	1.34
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
9	5
Passes
80% (313/393)	79% (298/378)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82	1.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.26	2.79
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
6	1
Shots inside the Box
12	5
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
9	5
Touches in opposition box
27	20
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
6	12
Passes
80% (313/393)	79% (298/378)
Long passes
43% (24/56)	41% (20/49)
Passes in final third
60% (76/126)	54% (44/81)
Crosses
27% (10/37)	13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.24	0.55
Throw-ins
20	16
Fouls
12	6
Tackles
50% (8/16)	63% (10/16)
Duels won
41	47
Clearances
27	48
Interceptions
3	7
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
2.79	1.26
Goals prevented
0.79	-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Duro H. ⚽,
26', Guerra J. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Ramirez S. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', Essugo D. ↓, Marvin ↑,
58', Ramirez S. ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
58', 1 - 2, Duro H. ⚽,
69', Munoz A. ↓, Januzaj A. ↑,
73', Gaya J. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
73', Duro H. ↓, Sadiq U. ↑,
73', Mir R. ↓, Almeida A. ↑,
75', Bajcetic S. 🟨,
75', 1 - 3, Alex Suarez (Own goal),
79', Bajcetic S. ↓, Campana J. ↑,
79', Javier Munoz ↓, Mata J. ↑,
83', 2 - 3, McBurnie O. ⚽, Campana J. (A),
84', Lopez D. ↓, Gasiorowski Y. ↑,
84', Rioja L. ↓, Perez F. ↑,

Chances of winning

Las Palmas
37.1%

Draw
29.4%

Valencia
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

27.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

28.7%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Las Palmas - Valencia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.61)	3.28 ↓ (3.54)	2.86 ↑ (2.7)	4.1% (3.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Las Palmas - Valencia?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 3.
In recent matches, Las Palmas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Valencia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Las Palmas: Rodriguez K. (Health problems)
There will not play in Valencia: Correia T. (Knee Injury) Tarrega C. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Las Palmas: Cillessen J. (Health problems) Ramirez B. (Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Las Palmas won against Valencia?

Las Palmas has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Valencia won against Las Palmas?

Valencia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Las Palmas - Valencia were as follows:

21.10.2024 Valencia - Las Palmas 2:3

10.02.2024 Las Palmas - Valencia 2:0

18.08.2023 Valencia - Las Palmas 1:0

Latest results of Las Palmas

23.04.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Las Palmas 1:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid 1:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Getafe - Las Palmas 1:3 ✺

06.04.2025 Las Palmas - Real Sociedad 1:3 ✺

31.03.2025 Celta de Vigo - Las Palmas 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Valencia

22.04.2025 Valencia - Espanyol 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Valencia 1:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Valencia - Sevilla 1:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 1:2 ✺

30.03.2025 Valencia - Mallorca 1:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona ✔	36	27	4	5	97:36	61	85
2	Real Madrid ✔	36	24	6	6	74:38	36	78
3	Atl. Madrid ✔	36	20	10	6	60:29	31	70
4	Ath Bilbao ✔	36	18	13	5	53:26	27	67
5	Villarreal	36	18	10	8	64:47	17	64
6	Betis	36	16	11	9	55:45	10	59
7	Celta Vigo	36	15	7	14	56:54	2	52
8	Rayo Vallecano	36	12	12	12	39:44	-5	48
9	Osasuna	36	11	15	10	45:51	-6	48
10	Mallorca	36	13	8	15	34:42	-8	47
11	Valencia	36	11	12	13	43:52	-9	45
12	Real Sociedad	36	12	7	17	32:42	-10	43
13	Girona	36	11	8	17	42:53	-11	41
14	Sevilla	36	10	11	15	40:49	-9	41
15	Getafe	36	10	9	17	31:36	-5	39
16	Espanyol	36	10	9	17	38:49	-11	39
17	Alaves	36	9	11	16	36:47	-11	38
18	Leganes	36	7	13	16	35:56	-21	34
19	Las Palmas ✔	36	8	8	20	40:58	-18	32
20	Valladolid ✔	36	4	4	28	26:86	-60	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Clinched Spots for Teams

Barcelona is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Real Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Atl. Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Ath Bilbao is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Las Palmas is Relegated to LaLiga2
Valladolid is Relegated to LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Las Palmas - Valencia?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	K Sport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 4
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online