Valencia vs Atlético Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

22/02/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia).

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 25
Referee: Busquets M. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.91	1.28
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Goal Attempts
18	11
Shots on Goal
2	3
Shots off Goal
9	4
Blocked Shots
7	4
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
7	0
Shots inside the Box
10	8
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
Free Kicks
16	18
Offsides
0	2
Fouls
18	16
Yellow Cards
1	3
Throw-ins
16	15
Touches in the Opposition Box
33	27
Passes
92% (482/525)	88% (507/578)
Passes in the final third
87% (174/201)	85% (116/136)
Crosses
21% (8/39)	20% (1/5)
Tackles
67% (12/18)	48% (12/25)
Clearances Total
10	32
Interceptions
11	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Alvarez J. ⚽, Simeone G. (A),
23', Lino S. 🟨,
30', 0 - 2, Alvarez J. ⚽, Griezmann A. (A),
40', Lenglet C. 🟨,
42', Guerra J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pepelu ↓, Duro H. ↑,
46', Azpilicueta C. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
46', Lino S. ↓, Galan J. ↑,
64', Galan J. 🟨,
65', Ivan Jaime ↓, Almeida A. ↑,
68', Griezmann A. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
68', Simeone G. ↓, Gimenez J. M. ↑,
74', Rioja L. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
74', Sadiq U. ↓, Mir R. ↑,
74', Alvarez J. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
80', Barrenechea E. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
86', 0 - 3, Correa A. ⚽, Gallagher C. (A),

Chances of winning

Valencia
25.3%

Draw
29.4%

Atlético Madrid
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

26.7%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

26.5%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valencia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Valencia - Atlético Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↓ (4.73)	3.25 ↓ (3.6)	2.11 ↑ (1.81)	4.6% (4.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : ESPN Deportes

What is the prediction for Valencia - Atlético Madrid?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Last 5 head-to-head matches Washington State won 1.
Washington State is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Santa Clara is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Washington State could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Santa Clara will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Washington State won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 458:505 (average 65.4:72.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Washington State won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 264:266 (average 66:66.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Valencia won against Atlético Madrid?

Valencia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Valencia?

Atlético Madrid has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Valencia - Atlético Madrid were as follows:

15.09.2024 Atlético Madrid - Valencia 3:0

28.01.2024 Atlético Madrid - Valencia 2:0

16.09.2023 Valencia - Atlético Madrid 3:0

18.03.2023 Atlético Madrid - Valencia 3:0

29.08.2022 Valencia - Atlético Madrid 0:1

Latest results of Valencia

15.02.2025 Villarreal - Valencia 1:1 ✺

09.02.2025 Valencia - Leganés 2:0 ✺

06.02.2025 Valencia - Barcelona 0:5 ✺

02.02.2025 Valencia - Celta de Vigo 2:1 ✺

26.01.2025 Barcelona - Valencia 7:1 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Madrid

15.02.2025 Atlético Madrid - Celta de Vigo 1:1 ✺

08.02.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 1:1 ✺

04.02.2025 Atlético Madrid - Getafe 5:0 ✺

01.02.2025 Atlético Madrid - Mallorca 2:0 ✺

29.01.2025 Red Bull Salzburg - Atlético Madrid 1:4 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona ✔	36	27	4	5	97:36	61	85
2	Real Madrid ✔	36	24	6	6	74:38	36	78
3	Atl. Madrid ✔	36	20	10	6	60:29	31	70
4	Ath Bilbao ✔	36	18	13	5	53:26	27	67
5	Villarreal	36	18	10	8	64:47	17	64
6	Betis	36	16	11	9	55:45	10	59
7	Celta Vigo	36	15	7	14	56:54	2	52
8	Rayo Vallecano	36	12	12	12	39:44	-5	48
9	Osasuna	36	11	15	10	45:51	-6	48
10	Mallorca	36	13	8	15	34:42	-8	47
11	Valencia	36	11	12	13	43:52	-9	45
12	Real Sociedad	36	12	7	17	32:42	-10	43
13	Girona	36	11	8	17	42:53	-11	41
14	Sevilla	36	10	11	15	40:49	-9	41
15	Getafe	36	10	9	17	31:36	-5	39
16	Espanyol	36	10	9	17	38:49	-11	39
17	Alaves	36	9	11	16	36:47	-11	38
18	Leganes	36	7	13	16	35:56	-21	34
19	Las Palmas ✔	36	8	8	20	40:58	-18	32
20	Valladolid ✔	36	4	4	28	26:86	-60	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Clinched Spots for Teams

Barcelona is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Real Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Atl. Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Ath Bilbao is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Las Palmas is Relegated to LaLiga2
Valladolid is Relegated to LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Valencia - Atlético Madrid?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 3
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN 5, TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Premium 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3, TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia