Vaduz vs Thun: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Swiss Challenge League Vaduz - Thun
Result
3:3
11/05/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Challenge League - Round 34
  • Referee: Jaussi J. (Sui)
Vaduz - Thun - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.892.60
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
78% (331/424)76% (247/327)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.892.60
xG on target (xGOT)
2.082.40
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
211
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
512
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
1421
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
53
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
78% (331/424)76% (247/327)
Long passes
40% (27/67)41% (26/63)
Passes in final third
58% (61/105)58% (57/98)
Crosses
10% (1/10)55% (6/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.300.95
Throw-ins
2823
Fouls
1216
Tackles
56% (5/9)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4638
Clearances
1220
Interceptions
62
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
2.402.08
Goals prevented
-0.60-0.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Dantas Fernandes R. ,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Eberhard M. , Wieser S. (A),
  • 27', 3 - 0, Cavegn F. ,
  • 29', Frith D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Dahler L. , Balaruban A. ,
  • 46', Meichtry F. , Reichmuth N. ,
  • 46', Frith D. , Castroman M. ,
  • 54', 3 - 1, Bertone L. (Pen),
  • 60', Gasser C. 🟨,
  • 63', Simani D. 🟨,
  • 63', Wieser S. 🟨,
  • 65', 3 - 2, Bertone L. (Pen),
  • 67', Deme M. , Kaio Eduardo ,
  • 67', Wieser S. , Hammerich M. ,
  • 67', Eberhard M. , Hasler N. ,
  • 74', Gutbub M. , Rastoder E. ,
  • 77', Dantas Fernandes R. , Navarro J. ,
  • 83', Beeli M. , Keckeisen N. ,
  • 86', Montolio G. , Tebily H. ,
  • 88', 3 - 3, Rastoder E. ,
  • 90+3', Roth J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vaduz
28.2%
Draw
25.2%
Thun
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24% 24% 52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24% 24% 51.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vaduz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaduz than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vaduz - Thun Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.28
    (3.75)
    3.67
    (3.75)
    1.99
    (1.73)
    8.1%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Vaduz - Thun?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Thun is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Super League
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaduz won 2.
    • Vaduz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Thun is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Thun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Thun is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Vaduz: Berisha L. (Yellow Cards) Emini L. (Injury) Mertens J. (Injury) Onyegbule A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Thun: Burki M. (Inactive) Matoshi V. (Shoulder Injury) Tebily H. (Injury) Tomas M. (Arm Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vaduz won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 28:48. (average 1.4:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vaduz won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.2:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vaduz - Thun were as follows:
    24.01.2025 Thun - Vaduz 3:1
    19.10.2024 Vaduz - Thun 2:0
    28.07.2024 Thun - Vaduz 2:0
    17.05.2024 Thun - Vaduz 6:3
    01.04.2024 Vaduz - Thun 1:0
    Latest results of Vaduz
    02.05.2025 Stade Nyonnais - Vaduz 1:0
    27.04.2025 Vaduz - Étoile Carouge 1:0
    18.04.2025 Aarau - Vaduz 2:2
    12.04.2025 Bellinzona - Vaduz 3:1
    06.04.2025 Vaduz - Neuchâtel Xamax 2:1
    Latest results of Thun
    02.05.2025 Thun - Aarau 2:1
    25.04.2025 Neuchâtel Xamax - Thun 0:2
    21.04.2025 Thun - Wil 1900 7:0
    11.04.2025 Stade Nyonnais - Thun 0:2
    04.04.2025 Thun - Schaffhausen 3:0
    Swiss Challenge League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Thun ✔ 35209669:393069
    2Aarau ✔ 351612762:441860
    3Etoile-Carouge351591158:461254
    4Vaduz3513121048:47151
    5Lausanne Ouchy3513111152:43950
    6Wil3513111157:53450
    7Xamax351251855:62-741
    8Bellinzona3510111443:58-1541
    9Stade Nyonnais351052043:68-2535
    10Schaffhausen ✔ 35772139:66-2725

          Promotion ~ Super League
          Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ Promotion League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Thun is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Super League
    Aarau is Qualified for Super League (Promotion )
    Schaffhausen is Relegated to Promotion League
    Which TV channels are streaming of Vaduz - Thun?
    It is being streamed on channel
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
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