Usue Maitane Arconada vs Varvara Lepchenko: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ITF W75 Lexington Ky Women Usue Maitane Arconada - Varvara Lepchenko
Result
0:2
30/07/2025 at 19:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Lexington, KY, hard - 1/16-finals
Usue Maitane Arconada - Varvara Lepchenko - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
46

Chances of winning


Usue Maitane Arconada
34.4%
Varvara Lepchenko
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 66.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Usue Maitane Arconada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Varvara Lepchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Usue Maitane Arconada than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Usue Maitane Arconada - Varvara Lepchenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.63)

    1.42
    (1.45)
    7.2%
    (7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Arconada is ranked WTA: 401. Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 126.
    • Arconada has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lepchenko's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Arconada may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Lepchenko is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Usue Maitane Arconada
    Latest results of Varvara Lepchenko
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Zakharova A. (1)Honer A.2 : 1
    2Crawley F. (Q)Cayetano E. (Q)2 : 0
    3Stoiana M.Day K.0 : 2
    4Sakatsume H.Pigossi L. (8)2 : 0
    5Ponchet J. (3)Yamaguchi M.2 : 0
    6Ma Y.Rogers A. S.2 : 1
    7Inoue H.Anderson R. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Chang H.Tjen J. (7)1 : 2
    9Daavettila S. (LL)Osuigwe V. (Q)0 : 2
    10Hu V.Scott K. (Q)2 : 1
    11Yamalapalli S.Akli A.0 : 2
    12Kalieva E.Wang Xiy. (4)0 : 2
    13Ngounoue C. (6)Hammond Z.2 : 1
    14Ma L. (Q)Jones M.2 : 0
    15Imamura S. (Q)Smith A. (Q)2 : 1
    16Arconada U. M. (Q)Lepchenko V. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zakharova A. (1)Crawley F.1 : 2
    2Day K.Sakatsume H.2 : 0
    3Ponchet J. (3)Ma Y.2 : 1
    4Inoue H.Tjen J. (7)0 : 2
    5Osuigwe V.Hu V.0 : 2
    6Akli A.Wang Xiy. (4)1 : 2
    7Ngounoue C. (6)Ma L. (WO.)
    8Imamura S.Lepchenko V. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Crawley F.Day K.2 : 0
    2Ponchet J. (3)Tjen J. (7)0 : 2
    3Hu V.Wang Xiy. (4)0 : 2
    4Ma L.Lepchenko V. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Crawley F.Tjen J. (7)0 : 2
    2Wang Xiy. (4)Lepchenko V. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Tjen J. (7)Wang Xiy. (4)1 : 2
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