Italy vs USA, World Championship Water Polo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Water polo World Championship Water Polo Italy - USA
Result
9:8
24/07/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : World Championship - 5th-8th places - 7th place
Italy - USA - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Italy
63.3%
Draw
12.7%
USA
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.8% 12.3% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 12.2% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Italy than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Italy - USA Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.48)
    7.15
    (7.45)
    3.8
    (3.52)
    9.9%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 23.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Italy - USA?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Italy (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 14:11.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 5.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Italy is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Italy won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 152:138. (average 10.9:9.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Italy - USA were as follows:
    28.07.2024 Italy - USA 12:8
    11.02.2024 USA - Italy 12:13
    01.07.2023 Italy - USA 15:12
    14.03.2023 Italy - USA 16:10
    Latest results of Italy
    22.07.2025 Italy - Montenegro 8:12
    20.07.2025 Italy - Greece 11:17
    16.07.2025 Italy - South Africa 28:4
    14.07.2025 Italy - Serbia 17:16
    12.07.2025 Romania - Italy 5:17
    Latest results of USA
    22.07.2025 USA - Croatia 9:14
    20.07.2025 USA - Serbia 9:14
    16.07.2025 Singapore - USA 6:25
    13.07.2025 USA - Brazil 16:7
    11.07.2025 Canada - USA 9:18
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1ItalyBye
    2BrazilGreece5 : 17
    3SpainBye
    4CanadaMontenegro10 : 22
    5USABye
    6SerbiaJapan21 : 14
    7CroatiaBye
    8RomaniaHungary11 : 15

    Quarter-finals
    1ItalyGreece11 : 17
    2SpainMontenegro14 : 5
    3USASerbia9 : 14
    4CroatiaHungary12 : 18

    Semi-finals
    1GreeceSpain9 : 11
    2SerbiaHungary18 : 19

    Final
    1SpainHungary15 : 13

    3rd place
    2GreeceSerbia16 : 7
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