Urawa Red Diamonds vs Gamba Osaka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka
Result
0:1
06/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 15
Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.032.08
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
04
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
86% (500/582)78% (294/378)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.032.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.41
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
3216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
84
Passes
86% (500/582)78% (294/378)
Long passes
45% (21/47)33% (19/57)
Passes in final third
68% (104/153)66% (69/105)
Crosses
31% (4/13)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.171.11
Throw-ins
1125
Fouls
48
Tackles
89% (8/9)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4142
Clearances
2133
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
1.410.00
Goals prevented
0.510.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Nishikawa S. , Niekawa A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', 0 - 1, Yamashita R. , Meshino R. (A),
  • 68', Naganuma Y. , Ogiwara T. ,
  • 68', Kaneko T. , Sekine T. ,
  • 68', Matsumoto T. , Nakajima S. ,
  • 74', Meshino R. , Kishimoto T. ,
  • 74', Kurokawa K. , Egawa Y. ,
  • 78', Ogiwara T. 🟨,
  • 79', Ishihara H. , Takahashi T. ,
  • 79', Mitsuta M. , Kurata S. ,
  • 84', Yamashita R. , Nakano S. ,
  • 84', Usami T. , Minamino H. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Urawa Red Diamonds
42.6%
Draw
28.6%
Gamba Osaka
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 28.1% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 26.7% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Urawa Red Diamonds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.07)
    3.27
    (3.36)
    3.28
    (3.57)
    6.5%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: Urawa Red Diamonds will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 4.
    • Urawa has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Gamba Osaka is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Urawa has had a series of home games.
    • Urawa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Welton (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:21. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
    28.01.2025 Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:4
    14.09.2024 Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:1
    20.04.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka 0:1
    24.09.2023 Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:3
    10.09.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka 3:0
    Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    29.04.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 2:1
    25.04.2025 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 3:0
    20.04.2025 Yokohama FC - Gamba Osaka 1:1
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers19131529:151440
    2Kyoto20104630:22834
    3Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    4Kashiwa Reysol1997322:17534
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima18102620:14632
    6Vissel Kobe1893623:19430
    7Kawasaki Frontale1878330:191129
    8Cerezo Osaka2085730:26429
    9Shimizu S-Pulse1974826:26025
    10Machida1974822:23-125
    11Okayama1966716:17-124
    12Gamba Osaka1973923:27-424
    13Verdy1966713:18-524
    14Nagoya Grampus1965824:26-223
    15Avispa Fukuoka1965815:19-423
    16Shonan Bellmare1964914:23-922
    17Yokohama FC19541013:20-719
    18FC Tokyo1854917:26-919
    19Albirex Niigata1837819:27-816
    20Yokohama F. Marinos18351018:26-814

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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