Gamba Osaka vs Urawa Red Diamonds: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

13/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Panasonic Stadium Suita (Suita).

: J1 League - Round 29

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.89	1.31
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
19	13
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
7	6
Passes
85% (411/484)	85% (406/476)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89	1.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.82	1.56
Total shots
19	13
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
9	5
Blocked Shots
6	4
Shots inside the Box
12	7
Shots outside the Box
7	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
7	6
Touches in opposition box
35	19
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
8	7
Passes
85% (411/484)	85% (406/476)
Long passes
47% (23/49)	38% (17/45)
Passes in final third
79% (173/218)	77% (96/125)
Crosses
32% (7/22)	33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.55	1.27
Throw-ins
17	16
Fouls
9	8
Tackles
53% (9/17)	27% (3/11)
Duels won
60	43
Clearances
19	32
Interceptions
7	14
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
1.56	0.82
Goals prevented
1.56	-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Komori H. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
55', Hatsuse R. 🟨,
63', Yamashita R. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
63', Welton ↓, Okunuki K. ↑,
63', Nakajima S. ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
65', Gustafson S. 🟨,
71', Sekine T. ↓, Kiese I. ↑,
71', Gustafson S. ↓, Shibato K. ↑,
75', Hummet D. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
75', Usami T. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
82', Kaneko T. ↓, Okubo T. ↑,
85', 1 - 0, Abe S. ⚽,
86', Kiese I. 🟨,
88', Hatsuse R. ↓, Kurokawa K. ↑,
90+4', Naganuma Y. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Gamba Osaka
43.9%

Draw
27.5%

Urawa Red Diamonds
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

28.6%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

28.4%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.38)	3.42 ↑ (3.35)	3.27 ↑ (3.09)	5.4% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Urawa will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 35.2% – 84.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 7)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 2.
Recent performances by Gamba Osaka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Urawa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Urawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Urawa: Matheus Savio (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Higashiguchi M. (Health problems)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 5:20. (average 0.5:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Gamba Osaka has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Gamba Osaka?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds were as follows:

06.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka 0:1

28.01.2025 Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:4

14.09.2024 Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:1

20.04.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka 0:1

24.09.2023 Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:3

Latest results of Gamba Osaka

31.08.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka 4:5 ✺

23.08.2025 Gamba Osaka - Yokohama FC 3:2 ✺

20.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Gamba Osaka 3:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 1:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Gamba Osaka - Fagiano Okayama 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

07.09.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:2 ✺

03.09.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kawasaki Frontale 1:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata 1:0 ✺

27.08.2025 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1 ✺

22.08.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Urawa Red Diamonds 4:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	31	19	4	8	48:28	20	61
2	Vissel Kobe	31	17	6	8	41:26	15	57
3	Kyoto	31	16	8	7	54:33	21	56
4	Kashiwa Reysol	31	15	11	5	43:29	14	56
5	Machida	31	15	7	9	47:33	14	52
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	31	15	7	9	35:21	14	52
7	Kawasaki Frontale	31	14	9	8	55:40	15	51
8	Urawa Reds	31	13	9	9	39:32	7	48
9	Gamba Osaka	31	14	4	13	42:45	-3	46
10	Cerezo Osaka	31	11	10	10	48:45	3	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	31	10	10	11	33:36	-3	40
12	Okayama	31	11	7	13	28:33	-5	40
13	FC Tokyo	31	11	7	13	33:42	-9	40
14	Avispa Fukuoka	31	9	10	12	30:35	-5	37
15	Nagoya Grampus	31	9	9	13	38:43	-5	36
16	Verdy	31	9	8	14	20:35	-15	35
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	31	7	7	17	29:41	-12	28
18	Yokohama FC	31	7	7	17	20:36	-16	28
19	Shonan Bellmare	31	6	7	18	28:55	-27	25
20	Albirex Niigata	31	4	9	18	27:50	-23	21

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan