Albirex Niigata vs Urawa Red Diamonds: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds
Result
1:1
11/05/2025 at 01:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 16
Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.230.89
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
85% (496/582)85% (425/502)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.230.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.451.07
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1621
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
89
Passes
85% (496/582)85% (425/502)
Long passes
49% (30/61)42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
75% (82/110)73% (88/121)
Crosses
13% (2/15)6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.97
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
98
Tackles
67% (8/12)65% (11/17)
Duels won
3443
Clearances
2619
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.071.45
Goals prevented
0.070.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Watanabe R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', Kasai K. 🟨,
  • 65', Watanabe R. , Nakajima S. ,
  • 65', Matheus Savio , Haraguchi G. ,
  • 65', Kaneko T. , Okubo T. ,
  • 65', Kasai K. , Komi Y. ,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Hasegawa M. ,
  • 78', Danilo Gomes 🟨,
  • 78', Naganuma Y. , Ogiwara T. ,
  • 78', Matsumoto T. , Nagakura M. ,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Nagakura M. , Ishihara H. (A),
  • 86', Danilo Gomes , Yamura K. ,
  • 86', Hashimoto K. , Horigome Y. ,
  • 86', Hoshi Y. , Miyamoto E. ,
  • 90', Miyamoto E. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Hasegawa M. , Takagi Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
29.2%
Draw
29.8%
Urawa Red Diamonds
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 29.3% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 29.5% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.21
    (2.87)
    3.14
    (3.22)
    2.3
    (2.5)
    6.4%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Urawa will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 0.
    • In recent matches, Niigata has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Urawa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Urawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Urawa has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Urawa: Nishikawa S. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.2:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata 0:0
    11.05.2024 Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:4
    02.09.2023 Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1
    18.03.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata 2:1
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers22132732:201241
    2Kashiwa Reysol22118330:201041
    3Kyoto22115636:261038
    4Vissel Kobe21114627:21637
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima21113726:17936
    6Kawasaki Frontale2298535:231235
    7Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    8Machida22104830:25534
    9Cerezo Osaka2296734:29533
    10Okayama2286819:19030
    11Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    12Gamba Osaka22841026:30-428
    13Nagoya Grampus2276928:30-227
    14Shimizu S-Pulse2276927:29-227
    15Verdy2276915:23-827
    16FC Tokyo22751024:31-726
    17Shonan Bellmare21651016:26-1023
    18Yokohama FC22541314:27-1319
    19Albirex Niigata22471123:37-1419
    20Yokohama F. Marinos22361319:32-1315

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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