UPDF vs Maroons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Bombo Stadium (Kampala).

: Premier League - Round 24

Match Stats


Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
17	10
Shots on target
7	3
Corner Kicks
4	4
Yellow Cards
1	4
Total shots
17	10
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
10	7
Corner Kicks
4	4
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Kiwanuka R. (Pen),
40', Ogama M. 🟨,
42', Tamale S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Faridi R. ↓, Ochen E. ↑,
55', Mawejje M. ↓, Kitagenda G. ↑,
55', Eturude A. ↓, Asaba I. ↑,
60', Zzinda H. ↓, Kitara D. ↑,
63', Kigozi S. ↓, Kalumba B. ↑,
68', Nkuubi B. 🟨,
69', Kiwanuka R. ↓, Kirya A. ↑,
70', Ssekitoleko D. 🟨,
70', Onegi B. 🟨,
76', 1 - 1, Ssekamatte S. (Pen),
90', 2 - 1, Ssekamatte S. ⚽,

Chances of winning

UPDF
37.5%

Draw
30.3%

Maroons
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

29.8%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

30.2%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UPDF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Maroons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maroons than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

UPDF - Maroons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.4)	3.01 ↓ (3.05)	2.83 ↑ (2.8)	9.8% (10.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

Preview Facts

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches UPDF won 0.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 8 head-to-head matches UPDF won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 0.6:1).
Including matches at home between the teams UPDF won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.3:0).

How many head-to-head matches has UPDF won against Maroons?

UPDF has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Maroons won against UPDF?

Maroons has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between UPDF - Maroons were as follows:

15.09.2024 Maroons - UPDF 1:1

05.01.2024 Maroons - UPDF 4:2

25.04.2023 Maroons - UPDF 1:0

22.11.2022 UPDF - Maroons 0:0

Latest results of UPDF

11.04.2025 Lugazi Municipal - UPDF 2:2 ✺

04.04.2025 UPDF - NEC FC 0:0 ✺

28.03.2025 Wakiso Giants - UPDF 0:1 ✺

19.03.2025 Kaaro Karungi - UPDF 3:0 ✺

13.03.2025 UPDF - Kampala City Council 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Maroons

09.04.2025 Wakiso Giants - Maroons 3:3 ✺

05.04.2025 Maroons - Express 1:0 ✺

28.03.2025 Lugazi Municipal - Maroons 0:1 ✺

14.03.2025 Maroons - NEC FC 1:3 ✺

09.03.2025 Villa - Maroons 0:2 ✺

Ugandan Super League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vipers	30	21	6	3	49:15	34	69
2	NEC FC	30	20	7	3	44:19	25	67
3	BUL	30	16	11	3	38:19	19	59
4	URA SC	30	16	4	10	42:23	19	52
5	Kampala City	30	14	8	8	47:24	23	50
6	Villa	30	12	9	9	44:30	14	45
7	Kitara	30	12	8	10	45:20	25	44
8	Maroons	30	12	7	11	29:32	-3	43
9	Express	30	11	6	13	30:45	-15	39
10	UPDF	30	10	9	11	29:34	-5	39
11	Police	30	8	12	10	27:28	-1	36
12	Mbarara City	30	8	8	14	22:33	-11	32
13	Lugazi	30	7	10	13	19:33	-14	31
14	Bright Stars	30	4	8	18	23:47	-24	20
15	Wakiso Giants	30	3	11	16	17:47	-30	20
16	Mbale Heroes	30	2	4	24	13:69	-56	10

      Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Big League

Which TV channels are streaming of UPDF - Maroons?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: