Universitario de Vinto vs Aurora: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

05/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba).

: Division Profesional - Round 13

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.78	1.69
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
13	18
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	7
Passes
80% (238/297)	85% (307/361)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78	1.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.61	2.37
Total shots
13	18
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
7	9
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
7	9
Shots outside the Box
6	9
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	7
Touches in opposition box
10	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	5
Free Kicks
7	13
Passes
80% (238/297)	85% (307/361)
Long passes
36% (17/47)	68% (50/73)
Passes in final third
66% (55/83)	76% (90/118)
Crosses
31% (5/16)	17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.74	0.77
Throw-ins
18	10
Fouls
13	7
Tackles
64% (9/14)	73% (8/11)
Duels won
47	44
Clearances
16	15
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
2.37	1.61
Goals prevented
0.37	0.35

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Camacho Almanza D. A. (Pen),
37', Tobar T. 🟨,
39', Amarilla A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Rey A. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
49', Lencinas J. 🟥,
54', Alipaz J. ↓, Cuellar G. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Huayhuata I. (Pen),
68', Tobar T. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
80', Castro R. 🟨,
80', Gonzales M. 🟨,
84', Sanchez A. ↓, Aranibar B. ↑,
85', Camacho Almanza D. A. ↓, Magallanes J. ↑,
86', Castro R. ↓, Lujan P. ↑,
88', Gonzales M. ↓, Lizarraga J. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Fernandez A. ⚽, Terrazas A. (A),
90+3', Akologo D. 🟨,
90+3', Rojas S. ↓, Viviani L. ↑,

Chances of winning

Universitario de Vinto
33.1%

Draw
28.3%

Aurora
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

25.4%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

25.1%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Vinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universitario de Vinto's form might have worsened.

Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aurora's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Vinto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aurora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Universitario de Vinto - Aurora Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.1)	3.25 ↓ (3.65)	2.39 ↓ (3.05)	9% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Universitario de Vinto - Aurora?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Uni de Vinto will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Aurora will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aurora (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Recently, Aurora has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Vinto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Vinto won against Aurora?

Universitario de Vinto has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Universitario de Vinto?

Aurora has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Vinto - Aurora were as follows:

22.10.2024 Aurora - Universitario de Vinto 1:2

25.05.2024 Universitario de Vinto - Aurora 2:2

30.07.2023 Aurora - Universitario de Vinto 0:1

26.02.2023 Universitario de Vinto - Aurora 1:1

20.10.2022 Aurora - Universitario de Vinto 0:2

Latest results of Universitario de Vinto

02.07.2025 Oriente Petrolero - Universitario de Vinto 3:2 ✺

29.06.2025 The Strongest - Universitario de Vinto 3:2 ✺

24.06.2025 Universitario de Vinto - Independiente Petroleros 3:0 ✺

21.06.2025 Universitario de Vinto - San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1:1 ✺

13.06.2025 Nacional Potosí - Universitario de Vinto Postponed ✺

Latest results of Aurora

02.07.2025 Aurora - San Antonio Bulo Bulo 0:3 ✺

29.06.2025 Aurora - Always Ready 1:1 ✺

25.06.2025 Aurora - GVCD San José 2:2 ✺

22.06.2025 Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora 1:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Aurora - GVCD San José 3:1 ✺

Bolivian Division Profesional Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Always Ready	12	8	4	0	37:13	24	28
2	The Strongest	12	9	1	2	34:19	15	28
3	Blooming	12	6	4	2	25:18	7	22
4	Bolivar	12	6	3	3	29:16	13	21
5	GV San Jose	12	5	2	5	16:20	-4	17
6	Oriente Petrolero	11	4	3	4	17:20	-3	15
7	SA Bulo Bulo	13	3	6	4	21:25	-4	15
8	Tomayapo	13	2	8	3	15:17	-2	14
9	Universitario de Vinto	12	3	4	5	15:21	-6	13
10	Academia del Balompie	11	3	4	4	10:16	-6	13
11	Guabira	12	3	3	6	19:29	-10	12
12	Real Oruro	12	2	5	5	15:18	-3	11
13	Independiente	11	2	5	4	17:21	-4	11
14	Nacional Potosi	10	2	4	4	11:11	0	10
15	Wilstermann	12	1	2	9	8:28	-20	5
16	Aurora	13	5	4	4	25:22	3	-14

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Division Profesional (Relegation)
      Relegation

Which TV channels are streaming of Universitario de Vinto - Aurora?

It is being streamed on channel


Bolivia	Futbol Canal