Result
1:2
14/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.23 | 1.31 |
Ball Possession |
---|
60% | 40% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
82% (395/480) | 80% (249/311) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.23 | 1.31 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.02 | 1.92 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
82% (395/480) | 80% (249/311) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (21/55) | 51% (28/55) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (91/135) | 75% (89/118) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (2/14) | 36% (8/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.01 | 1.71 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 11 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (8/12) | 75% (12/16) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 48 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 31 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.92 | 1.02 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.08 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Vidales J. ⚽, Cuesta B. (A),
- 23', 1 - 1, Concha J. ⚽,
- 29', Santamaria A. ↓, Inga C. ↑,
- 45+1', Carabali J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Llontop M. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
- 55', Guzman L. ↓, Quagliata N. ↑,
- 55', Arias A. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
- 62', Di Benedetto M. 🟨,
- 68', Deneumostier A. ↓, Lazo M. ↑,
- 68', Concha J. ↓, Calcaterra H. ↑,
- 68', Carabali J. ↓, Reyna P. ↑,
- 72', Bordacahar C. 🟨,
- 80', Velez J. ↓, Flores E. ↑,
- 80', Perez M. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
- 81', Bordacahar C. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Riveros W. ⚽, Reyna P. (A),
- 90+2', Tandazo W. 🟥,
Chances of winning
FBC Melgar 40.5% | Draw 32.8% | Universitario de Deportes 26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.38 ↑ (2.2) |
2.83 ↓ (3.25) |
3.49 ↑ (3.2) |
6.1% (7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Melgar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Melgar: Cabanillas N.
(Knee Injury)
Vidales J.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Flores E.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Universitario de Deportes?
FBC Melgar has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Deportes won against FBC Melgar?
Universitario de Deportes has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes were as follows:
13.04.2025
Universitario de Deportes
-
FBC Melgar
4:1
31.07.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Universitario de Deportes
1:0
17.02.2024
Universitario de Deportes
-
FBC Melgar
2:0
06.08.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Universitario de Deportes
0:1
05.03.2023
Universitario de Deportes
-
FBC Melgar
1:0
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Latest results of Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
2 | Cusco | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:10 | 8 | 22 |
3 | AD Tarma | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 |
4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
8 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
9 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Los Chankas | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14:23 | -9 | 15 |
13 | Alianza Atl | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
17 | Ayacucho | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 10 |
18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |