Universitario de Deportes vs FBC Melgar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Universitario de Deportes - FBC Melgar
Result
4:1
13/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 8
  • Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
Universitario de Deportes - FBC Melgar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.200.47
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
81% (372/460)73% (206/284)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.200.47
xG on target (xGOT)
1.980.86
Total shots
198
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
307
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
97
Passes
81% (372/460)73% (206/284)
Long passes
62% (37/60)44% (27/61)
Passes in final third
68% (89/131)59% (45/76)
Crosses
30% (9/30)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.28
Fouls
79
Tackles
90% (26/29)80% (12/15)
Duels won
5634
Clearances Total
1345
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.861.98
Goals prevented
-0.14-2.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ,
  • 18', Calcaterra H. 🟨,
  • 33', Carabali J. 🟨,
  • 41', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 1, Valera A. , Carabali J. (A),
  • 53', Barrios P. 🟨,
  • 58', Velez J. , Rivera J. ,
  • 58', Calcaterra H. , Concha J. ,
  • 61', Castro F. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 61', Cabanillas N. , Llontop M. ,
  • 63', 2 - 1, Concha J. , Flores E. (A),
  • 67', 3 - 1, Rivera J. , Valera A. (A),
  • 70', Guzman L. , Liza P. ,
  • 70', Martinez T. , Arias A. ,
  • 76', Flores E. , Murrugarra J. ,
  • 76', Valera A. , Diego Churin ,
  • 86', Bordacahar C. , Ramos E. ,
  • 86', Carabali J. , Reyna P. ,
  • 90+3', Lazo M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 4 - 1, Rivera J. , Dulanto G. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Universitario de Deportes
53.7%
Draw
28.6%
FBC Melgar
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 29% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 28.1% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Universitario de Deportes - FBC Melgar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.87)
    3.26
    (3.23)
    5.16
    (4.53)
    7%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and Peruvian Liga 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Gol (English)
  • What is the prediction for Universitario de Deportes - FBC Melgar?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is Universitario de Deportes will win! (4 of 5 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Uni de Deportes won 3.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • In this match Uni de Deportes is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Di Benedetto M. (Injury) Perez M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Melgar: Cuesta B. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez L. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Urena R. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Uni de Deportes won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 23:30 (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Uni de Deportes won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Deportes - FBC Melgar were as follows:
    31.07.2024 FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes 1:0
    17.02.2024 Universitario de Deportes - FBC Melgar 2:0
    06.08.2023 FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes 0:1
    05.03.2023 Universitario de Deportes - FBC Melgar 1:0
    16.10.2022 Universitario de Deportes - FBC Melgar 1:1
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    09.04.2025 Lanús - FBC Melgar 3:0
    05.04.2025 FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma 4:0
    02.04.2025 FBC Melgar - Vasco da Gama 3:3
    27.03.2025 Ayacucho - FBC Melgar 2:3
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sport Huancayo1381420:15525
    2FBC Melgar1273221:13824
    3U. de Deportes1272327:121523
    4Sporting Cristal1271422:15722
    5Alianza Atl1271418:11722
    6Cusco1262423:17620
    7Deportivo Garcilaso1362520:14620
    8Alianza Lima1162313:10320
    9AD Tarma1354422:23-119
    10Sport Boys1244420:20016
    11Los Chankas1236317:17015
    12Cajamarca1242613:23-1014
    13Cienciano1134416:17-113
    14Grau1126314:18-412
    15Binacional1133514:19-512
    16Juan Pablo II1132613:16-311
    17Comerciantes Unidos1115513:21-88
    18Alianza Huanuco1113710:22-126
    19Ayacucho121389:22-136

          Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Universitario de Deportes - FBC Melgar?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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