Escuela Municipal Binacional vs Universitario de Deportes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universitario de Deportes
Result
1:3
18/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 9
  • Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universitario de Deportes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.631.16
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
88% (389/444)85% (264/312)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.631.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.742.09
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
98
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1211
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
69
Passes
88% (389/444)85% (264/312)
Long passes
58% (29/50)45% (20/44)
Passes in final third
76% (109/144)60% (40/67)
Crosses
13% (3/23)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.20
Fouls
96
Tackles
80% (8/10)63% (5/8)
Duels won
2741
Clearances Total
1733
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
2.090.74
Goals prevented
-0.91-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Rivera J. ,
  • 45', 0 - 2, Concha J. , Ancajima H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Torres R. , Aubert E. ,
  • 46', Duque L. , Tello Y. ,
  • 46', Gutierrez A. , Meza C. ,
  • 52', Carranza J. 🟨,
  • 55', Rasmussen M. 🟨,
  • 58', 0 - 3, Ancajima H. , Concha J. (A),
  • 58', Ancajima H. 🟨,
  • 59', Rasmussen M. , Aguinaga A. ,
  • 61', 1 - 3, Torres M. , Aubert E. (A),
  • 61', Chavez E. 🟨,
  • 65', Diego Churin , Valera A. ,
  • 68', Chavez E. , Crespo H. ,
  • 74', Velez J. , Polo A. ,
  • 80', Leon B. 🟨,
  • 81', Rivera J. , Di Benedetto M. ,
  • 81', Concha J. , Flores S. ,

Chances of winning


Escuela Municipal Binacional
31.9%
Draw
28.7%
Universitario de Deportes
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19% 26.3% 54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9% 26.1% 55.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Escuela Municipal Binacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Escuela Municipal Binacional's performance.
  • Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitario de Deportes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (-13%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Escuela Municipal Binacional that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+15.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitario de Deportes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universitario de Deportes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.97
    (4.96)
    3.28
    (3.58)
    2.35
    (1.72)
    6.6%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universitario de Deportes?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Uni de Deportes (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 2).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Binacional won 1.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Uni de Deportes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Uni de Deportes will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Di Benedetto M. (Muscle Injury) Perez M. (Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Binacional won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 8:16 (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Binacional won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universitario de Deportes were as follows:
    12.08.2023 Universitario de Deportes - Escuela Municipal Binacional 1:0
    13.03.2023 Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universitario de Deportes 1:2
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Alianza Atl1491423:121128
    2U. de Deportes1382329:121726
    3Alianza Lima1382316:10626
    4FBC Melgar1374222:14825
    5Sport Huancayo1381420:15525
    6Cusco1473425:18724
    7Deportivo Garcilaso1472524:141023
    8Sporting Cristal1371522:17522
    9AD Tarma1454522:24-219
    10Cienciano1446423:19418
    11Grau1346319:18118
    12Sport Boys1344520:21-116
    13Los Chankas1336418:19-115
    14Cajamarca1442814:31-1714
    15Binacional1334615:23-813
    16Juan Pablo II1232713:20-711
    17Ayacucho1323810:22-129
    18Comerciantes Unidos1315714:26-128
    19Alianza Huanuco1314811:25-147

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