Cusco vs Universitario de Deportes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Cusco - Universitario de Deportes
Result
2:0
03/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 11
  • Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)
Cusco - Universitario de Deportes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.391.15
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
917
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
88% (457/519)83% (264/320)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.391.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.050.34
Total shots
917
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
825
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
126
Passes
88% (457/519)83% (264/320)
Long passes
36% (17/47)45% (25/56)
Passes in final third
64% (36/56)69% (74/107)
Crosses
33% (4/12)37% (11/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.831.51
Throw-ins
1324
Fouls
612
Tackles
100% (18/18)92% (11/12)
Duels won
4433
Clearances
268
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
0.341.05
Goals prevented
0.34-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', Ruidias M. 🟨,
  • 35', Fuentes A. 🟨,
  • 39', Concha J. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Callejo F. , Colman I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Velez J. , Costa G. ,
  • 58', Reyna P. , Carabali J. ,
  • 61', 2 - 0, Callejo F. , Silva N. (A),
  • 65', Ruidias M. , Zevallos J. ,
  • 67', Concha J. , Polo A. ,
  • 67', Rivera J. , Flores E. ,
  • 68', Costa G. 🟨,
  • 74', Callejo F. , Tevez J. ,
  • 79', Ancajima H. , Rengifo N. ,
  • 90', Colitto L. , Cardenas P. ,

Chances of winning


Cusco
36%
Draw
30.6%
Universitario de Deportes
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 28.9% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 29% 38.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitario de Deportes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitario de Deportes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cusco - Universitario de Deportes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.9)
    3.04
    (3.25)
    2.78
    (2.42)
    7.3%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 0.
    • Cusco has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Uni de Deportes is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Calcaterra H. (Inactive) Diego Churin (Red Card) Perez M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cusco - Universitario de Deportes were as follows:
    20.08.2024 Cusco - Universitario de Deportes 1:1
    12.03.2024 Universitario de Deportes - Cusco 1:0
    21.10.2023 Cusco - Universitario de Deportes 1:1
    02.06.2023 Universitario de Deportes - Cusco 1:0
    Latest results of Cusco
    28.04.2025 ADT Tarma - Cusco 2:1
    19.04.2025 Cusco - Ayacucho 3:0
    13.04.2025 Sporting Cristal - Cusco 1:0
    28.03.2025 Alianza Atlético - Cusco 2:4
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes17122338:122638
    2Alianza Lima17113323:111236
    3Cusco1794431:201131
    4Alianza Atl17101627:18931
    5FBC Melgar1786327:19830
    6Sport Huancayo1793523:18530
    7Sporting Cristal1792629:23629
    8Deportivo Garcilaso1883728:19927
    9Cienciano1758429:24523
    10Grau1757522:22022
    11Los Chankas1757524:25-122
    12AD Tarma1756623:30-721
    13Sport Boys1755726:27-120
    14Cajamarca1753917:34-1718
    15Binacional1745819:32-1317
    16Juan Pablo II1744919:28-916
    17Ayacucho17331113:27-1412
    18Comerciantes Unidos17251017:30-1311
    19Alianza Huanuco17251016:32-1611

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