Cusco vs Universitario de Deportes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Cusco - Universitario de Deportes
Result
2:0
03/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 11
  • Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)
Cusco - Universitario de Deportes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.391.15
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
917
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
88% (457/519)83% (264/320)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.391.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.050.34
Total shots
917
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
825
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
126
Passes
88% (457/519)83% (264/320)
Long passes
36% (17/47)45% (25/56)
Passes in final third
64% (36/56)69% (74/107)
Crosses
33% (4/12)37% (11/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.831.51
Throw-ins
1324
Fouls
612
Tackles
100% (18/18)92% (11/12)
Duels won
4433
Clearances
268
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
0.341.05
Goals prevented
0.34-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', Ruidias M. 🟨,
  • 35', Fuentes A. 🟨,
  • 39', Concha J. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Callejo F. , Colman I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Velez J. , Costa G. ,
  • 58', Reyna P. , Carabali J. ,
  • 61', 2 - 0, Callejo F. , Silva N. (A),
  • 65', Ruidias M. , Zevallos J. ,
  • 67', Concha J. , Polo A. ,
  • 67', Rivera J. , Flores E. ,
  • 68', Costa G. 🟨,
  • 74', Callejo F. , Tevez J. ,
  • 79', Ancajima H. , Rengifo N. ,
  • 90', Colitto L. , Cardenas P. ,

Chances of winning


Cusco
36%
Draw
30.6%
Universitario de Deportes
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 28.9% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 29% 38.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitario de Deportes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitario de Deportes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cusco - Universitario de Deportes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.9)
    3.04
    (3.25)
    2.78
    (2.42)
    7.3%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cusco - Universitario de Deportes?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 0.
    • Cusco has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Uni de Deportes is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Calcaterra H. (Inactive) Diego Churin (Red Card) Perez M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cusco - Universitario de Deportes were as follows:
    20.08.2024 Cusco - Universitario de Deportes 1:1
    12.03.2024 Universitario de Deportes - Cusco 1:0
    21.10.2023 Cusco - Universitario de Deportes 1:1
    02.06.2023 Universitario de Deportes - Cusco 1:0
    Latest results of Cusco
    28.04.2025 ADT Tarma - Cusco 2:1
    19.04.2025 Cusco - Ayacucho 3:0
    13.04.2025 Sporting Cristal - Cusco 1:0
    28.03.2025 Alianza Atlético - Cusco 2:4
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1072127:91823
    2Deportivo Garcilaso1162319:10920
    3FBC Melgar1062218:11720
    4Sport Huancayo1161418:15319
    5Alianza Lima1061312:9319
    6AD Tarma1153319:19018
    7Alianza Atl1051416:11516
    8Cusco1051417:13416
    9Sporting Cristal1051416:13316
    10Sport Boys1144320:19116
    11Cienciano1034315:15013
    12Los Chankas1025312:13-111
    13Binacional1032513:18-511
    14Cajamarca1032510:21-1111
    15Grau924312:16-410
    16Juan Pablo II92169:14-57
    17Comerciantes Unidos914412:18-67
    18Ayacucho111378:18-106
    19Alianza Huanuco1013610:21-116

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