Universidad Central vs Portuguesa Acarígua: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Venezuelan Primera Division Universidad Central - Portuguesa Acarígua
Result
2:0
03/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 5
  • Referee: Torres R. (Ven)
Universidad Central - Portuguesa Acarígua - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.60
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
66% (124/189)86% (359/417)
Yellow Cards
36
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.301.66
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1417
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
1324
Passes
66% (124/189)86% (359/417)
Long passes
39% (22/57)62% (36/58)
Passes in final third
41% (33/81)73% (84/115)
Crosses
43% (6/14)9% (2/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.37
Throw-ins
1622
Fouls
2413
Tackles
94% (16/17)88% (7/8)
Duels won
4146
Clearances
228
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.661.30
Goals prevented
1.34-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Gonzalez A. 🟥,
  • 21', Ortiz C. 🟨,
  • 31', Carrillo D. 🟨,
  • 40', Trujillo A. 🟨,
  • 43', Moreno Quero L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Murillo Y. , Cumana Y. ,
  • 46', Trujillo A. , Linarez D. ,
  • 47', Marchan J. 🟨,
  • 50', 1 - 0, Martinez A. , Sole F. (A),
  • 51', Castro C. 🟨,
  • 60', Pena R. 🟨,
  • 60', Lucena R. , Febres R. ,
  • 60', Pena R. , Montero Y. ,
  • 65', Sosa S. , Gomez J. ,
  • 72', Zapata J. , Cuesta J. ,
  • 74', Gomez J. 🟨,
  • 74', Moreno Quero L. , Gomez D. ,
  • 75', Lopez A. , Zambrano J. ,
  • 78', 2 - 0, Cuesta J. , Cumana Y. (A),
  • 81', Ortiz C. , Simarra A. ,
  • 81', Carrillo D. , De Sousa D. ,
  • 83', Zuniga K. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Universidad Central
46.7%
Draw
28.8%
Portuguesa Acarígua
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 27.3% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8% 26.6% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Central's form might have worsened.
  • Portuguesa Acarígua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portuguesa Acarígua's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portuguesa Acarígua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Universidad Central - Portuguesa Acarígua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.69)
    3.27
    (3.37)
    3.85
    (4.99)
    6.1%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Universidad Central - Portuguesa Acarígua?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Universidad Central (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Universidad Central will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Universidad Central may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Universidad Central will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Universidad Central won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Central - Portuguesa Acarígua were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Portuguesa Acarígua - Universidad Central 1:3
    11.05.2025 Universidad Central - Portuguesa Acarígua 2:2
    22.02.2025 Portuguesa Acarígua - Universidad Central 0:1
    21.09.2024 Portuguesa Acarígua - Universidad Central 1:1
    22.03.2024 Universidad Central - Portuguesa Acarígua 1:0
    Latest results of Portuguesa Acarígua
    Venezuelan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1La Guaira760118:51318
    2Dep. Tachira742110:7314
    3Carabobo74217:4314
    4Monagas842210:8214
    5Caracas74129:8113
    6Universidad Central73229:6311
    7Puerto Cabello72419:7210
    8Estudiantes Merida73136:6010
    9Zamora83147:10-310
    10Rayo Zuliano83147:11-410
    11Anzoategui FC82065:12-76
    12Metropolitanos71248:12-45
    13Portuguesa82156:10-44
    14Yaracuyanos81165:10-54

          Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

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