Universidad Central vs Metropolitanos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Venezuelan Primera Division Universidad Central - Metropolitanos
Result
1:4
22/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 11
Universidad Central - Metropolitanos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.89
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
81% (415/512)72% (242/334)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.89
xG on target (xGOT)
0.441.73
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
21
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2113
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
815
Passes
81% (415/512)72% (242/334)
Long passes
52% (48/93)31% (23/74)
Passes in final third
54% (81/149)49% (46/93)
Crosses
20% (3/15)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.88
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
158
Tackles
82% (9/11)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4856
Clearances
632
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
1.730.44
Goals prevented
-2.27-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 28', Ferro A. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Sole F. ,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Ramirez J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 51', 1 - 2, Figueroa R. , Fedor M. (A),
  • 54', 1 - 3, Zalzman D. , Rodriguez A. (A),
  • 57', Gonzalez A. , Cermeno C. ,
  • 57', Cuesta J. , Sosa S. ,
  • 57', De Sousa D. , Magallan C. ,
  • 68', Cermeno C. 🟨,
  • 69', Martinez A. , Ruiz M. ,
  • 69', Zalzman D. , Funes F. ,
  • 70', Rodriguez A. , Pena L. ,
  • 77', Sole F. , Granko A. ,
  • 79', Simarra A. 🟨,
  • 81', Ortiz C. 🟨,
  • 87', Ramirez J. , Garces R. ,
  • 89', 1 - 4, Ayine G. ,
  • 90+3', Fedor M. , Gimenez J. ,
  • 90+3', Figueroa R. , Nieves A. ,

Chances of winning


Universidad Central
53.4%
Draw
25.4%
Metropolitanos
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 25.7% 17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 18.2% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Metropolitanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (-13%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Central that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Universidad Central - Metropolitanos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.62)
    3.67
    (3.6)
    4.39
    (5.37)
    7.3%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Universidad Central - Metropolitanos?
  • Users Predictions: Universidad Central will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 12)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 2.
    • Universidad Central has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Metropolitanos is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Metropolitanos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Universidad Central is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Universidad Central won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Central - Metropolitanos were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Metropolitanos - Universidad Central 0:1
    24.07.2024 Metropolitanos - Universidad Central 0:0
    18.05.2024 Metropolitanos - Universidad Central 5:2
    30.04.2024 Universidad Central - Metropolitanos 0:0
    12.02.2024 Universidad Central - Metropolitanos 3:0
    Latest results of Universidad Central
    Latest results of Metropolitanos
    Venezuelan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1La Guaira13101229:82131
    2Dep. Tachira1383223:121127
    3Carabobo1374214:8625
    4Monagas1364319:15422
    5Caracas1363417:17021
    6Zamora1361611:15-419
    7Puerto Cabello1346312:10218
    8Metropolitanos1352621:19217
    9Universidad Central1352619:18117
    10Estudiantes Merida1351711:16-516
    11Rayo Zuliano1341810:19-913
    12Anzoategui FC1332810:18-811
    13Yaracuyanos1331911:21-1010
    14Portuguesa1331910:21-117

          Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

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