Universidad Central vs Caracas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Venezuelan Primera Division Universidad Central - Caracas
Result
1:3
27/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 13
Universidad Central - Caracas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.732.70
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1224
Shots on target
212
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
05
Passes
76% (246/323)81% (337/414)
Yellow Cards
46
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.732.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.583.41
Total shots
1224
Shots on target
212
Shots off target
98
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
715
Shots outside the Box
59
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
05
Touches in opposition box
1438
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
76% (246/323)81% (337/414)
Long passes
46% (31/67)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
60% (65/108)73% (116/159)
Crosses
30% (3/10)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.441.59
Throw-ins
1017
Fouls
1317
Tackles
86% (12/14)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4849
Clearances
229
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
91
xGOT faced
3.410.58
Goals prevented
0.41-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Echenique E. , Covea M. (A),
  • 23', De Santis J. 🟨,
  • 28', Yendis J. 🟨,
  • 43', Hernandez J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 0 - 2, Echenique E. , Vegas M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Granko A. , Murillo Y. ,
  • 46', Vegas M. , Correa W. ,
  • 46', Gonzalez C. , Silva M. ,
  • 46', Cumana Y. , Carrillo D. ,
  • 47', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
  • 56', Hernandez J. (Pen),
  • 57', Sosa Samuel 🟨,
  • 65', 0 - 3, Rito E. , Echenique E. (A),
  • 66', Gonzalez A. , Mendoza K. ,
  • 67', Rodriguez V. 🟨,
  • 68', Mendoza K. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 3, Sosa Samuel , Cuesta J. (A),
  • 78', Hernandez J. , Pena L. ,
  • 78', Covea M. 🟨,
  • 86', Rodriguez V. , Heraldez L. ,
  • 86', De Santis J. , Reinoso L. ,
  • 86', Cuesta J. , Ortiz C. ,
  • 86', Mago L. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 88', Silva M. 🟨,
  • 90', Martinez A. 🟥,
  • 90+3', Reinoso L. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Universidad Central
47.9%
Draw
29.4%
Caracas
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 24.5% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5% 23.7% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Central's form might have worsened.
  • Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caracas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Universidad Central - Caracas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.62)
    3.15
    (3.8)
    4.09
    (5.19)
    7.9%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Universidad Central - Caracas?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 11).
    • Universidad Central is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Universidad Central won 1.
    • Universidad Central is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Caracas is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Caracas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Caracas have a series of home games.
    • In this match Universidad Central is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Universidad Central to win the game is with odds 1.89.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Universidad Central won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:16 (average 1:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Central won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:9 (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Central - Caracas were as follows:
    13.10.2024 Universidad Central - Caracas 1:3
    14.04.2024 Caracas - Universidad Central 2:2
    16.09.2023 Caracas - Universidad Central 0:0
    26.02.2023 Universidad Central - Caracas 0:2
    Latest results of Universidad Central
    Latest results of Caracas
    18.04.2025 Caracas - Monagas 1:4
    13.04.2025 Zamora - Caracas 3:0
    08.04.2025 Caracas - Cienciano 2:2
    05.04.2025 Caracas - Carabobo 0:1
    Venezuelan Primera Division Table
    Apertura - Quadrangular

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1La Guaira32017:526
    2Universidad Central31209:815
    3Portuguesa30213:4-12
    4Anzoategui FC30215:7-22


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Tachira33004:139
    2Carabobo31113:214
    3Puerto Cabello30212:3-12
    4Metropolitanos30122:5-31

          Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Final: )

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