Universidad Católica del Ecuador vs SD Aucas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas
03/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Universidad Católica del Ecuador
41.6%
Draw
28.3%
SD Aucas
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 27.6% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 29.7% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Católica del Ecuador's form might have worsened.
  • SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica del Ecuador, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SD Aucas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (1.98)
    3.28
    (3.38)
    3.02
    (3.67)
    8.8%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Aucas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Uni Católica could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.6:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas were as follows:
    15.04.2025 SD Aucas - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:1
    06.03.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas 1:0
    09.11.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas 3:2
    19.05.2024 SD Aucas - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:2
    17.08.2023 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas 2:2
    Latest results of SD Aucas
    30.07.2025 Ecuagenera - SD Aucas 0:1
    26.07.2025 SD Aucas - Delfín 2:1
    14.07.2025 SD Aucas - El Nacional 1:0
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle22137242:192346
    2LDU Quito22117438:211740
    3Barcelona SC22115633:26738
    4Orense22114725:24137
    5Aucas22105730:27335
    6Dep. Cuenca23105827:24335
    7Libertad2297633:28534
    8U. Catolica2287738:29931
    9Emelec2277820:26-628
    10Delfin2268821:31-1026
    11EL Nacional2267926:32-625
    12Vinotinto22651126:30-423
    13Macara23581021:26-523
    14Manta2258929:38-923
    15Tecnico U22471120:33-1319
    16Mushuc Runa22451324:39-1517

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

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