Orense vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

08/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio 9 de Mayo (Machala).

: Liga Pro - Round 24

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.62	1.08
Ball Possession
37%	63%
Total shots
6	12
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
73% (176/240)	85% (351/415)
Yellow Cards
1	5
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62	1.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.95	0.75
Total shots
6	12
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
2	3
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
2	7
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
9	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
16	11
Passes
73% (176/240)	85% (351/415)
Long passes
51% (28/55)	56% (23/41)
Passes in final third
59% (41/70)	69% (81/118)
Crosses
8% (1/12)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.19	0.57
Throw-ins
14	12
Fouls
12	16
Tackles
81% (22/27)	54% (7/13)
Duels won
54	45
Clearances
25	7
Interceptions
6	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
0.75	0.95
Goals prevented
-0.25	-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Mena A. ⚽, Molina N. (A),
37', Diaz M. 🟨,
42', Palacios B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Canga L. 🟨,
53', Vasquez S. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Palacios B. ⚽,
62', Silva R. 🟥,
67', Burgoa V. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
68', Bianchi O. ↓, Olinick A. ↑,
78', Alonso M. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
84', Vasquez S. ↓, Vinan B. ↑,
84', Mena A. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
84', Palacios B. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
84', Diaz M. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
86', Moreno L. 🟨,
90+1', Herrera A. ↓, Quinonez B. ↑,
90+2', Anangono G. 🟨,
90+4', Mejia E. ↓, Romero Padilla D. A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Orense
39.7%

Draw
28.6%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28.7%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

29.8%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orense than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.24)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	2.89 ↓ (3.13)	8.5% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.25 - Uni Católica (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 0.
Recent performances by Orense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Uni Católica is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Orense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:18. (average 0.7:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?

Orense has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Orense?

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:

20.04.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense 2:0

13.09.2024 Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:2

31.03.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense 5:1

15.09.2023 Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:2

17.04.2023 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense 1:1

Latest results of Orense

02.08.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Orense 2:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Vinotinto - Orense 0:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Orense - El Nacional 1:1 ✺

13.07.2025 Orense - Libertad Loja 0:1 ✺

07.07.2025 Técnico Universitario - Orense 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador

03.08.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas 6:2 ✺

27.07.2025 Deportivo Macará - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:4 ✺

19.07.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vinotinto 3:0 ✺

12.07.2025 Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 4:2 ✺

05.07.2025 Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	25	15	8	2	45:20	25	53
2	LDU Quito	25	12	8	5	41:24	17	44
3	Barcelona SC	24	13	5	6	37:27	10	44
4	Libertad	25	10	8	7	37:32	5	38
5	Aucas	25	11	5	9	33:34	-1	38
6	Orense	25	11	5	9	27:29	-2	38
7	U. Catolica	25	9	9	7	46:33	13	36
8	Dep. Cuenca	24	10	6	8	28:25	3	36
9	Emelec	25	9	8	8	24:28	-4	35
10	EL Nacional	25	7	7	11	30:35	-5	28
11	Delfin	25	6	10	9	24:37	-13	28
12	Manta	25	5	10	10	31:42	-11	25
13	Tecnico U	25	6	7	12	24:35	-11	25
14	Vinotinto	24	6	6	12	29:34	-5	24
15	Macara	24	5	9	10	21:26	-5	24
16	Mushuc Runa ✔	25	5	5	15	27:43	-16	20

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )

Which TV channels are streaming of Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz