Universidad Católica del Ecuador vs Orense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

20/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito).

: Liga Pro - Round 9
Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.33	0.97
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
12	13
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	7
Passes
83% (340/410)	77% (224/290)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33	0.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.09	0.05
Total shots
12	13
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
3	6
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
4	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
22	18
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
7	12
Passes
83% (340/410)	77% (224/290)
Long passes
51% (29/57)	33% (16/49)
Passes in final third
65% (72/110)	64% (54/85)
Crosses
20% (2/10)	21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.40	0.32
Fouls
12	7
Tackles
75% (12/16)	87% (13/15)
Duels won
32	36
Clearances Total
12	16
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.05	1.09
Goals prevented
0.05	-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Diaz I. (Pen),
45+3', Cacciabue J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Molina N. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
62', Quinonez B. ↓, Armas D. ↑,
64', Anangono G. 🟨,
67', Cacciabue J. ↓, Clavijo E. ↑,
67', Palacios B. ↓, Londono A. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Clavijo E. (A),
80', Rodriguez A. ↓, Maciel M. ↑,
81', Caicedo B. ↓, Coronel D. ↑,
89', Diaz I. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
90', Olinick A. ↓, Zambrano Pesantez E. S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
61.4%

Draw
23.1%

Orense
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

23.9%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

23.4%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Orense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orense than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.57)	4.04 ↑ (3.89)	6 ↑ (5.49)	7.6% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense?

The most likely score is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Uni Católica won 3.
Recent matches Uni Católica is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Orense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Orense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Uni Católica is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Uni Católica won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:6 (average 2:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Uni Católica won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:2 (average 2.3:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Orense?

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?

Orense has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense were as follows:

13.09.2024 Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:2

31.03.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense 5:1

15.09.2023 Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:2

17.04.2023 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense 1:1

18.09.2022 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense 2:0

Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador

15.04.2025 SD Aucas - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:1 ✺

10.04.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Cerro Largo 3:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Macará 1:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Vitória Salvador - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Vinotinto - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Orense

14.04.2025 Orense - Barcelona Guayaquil 3:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Orense - Vinotinto 0:0 ✺

30.03.2025 El Nacional - Orense 0:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Libertad Loja - Orense 4:1 ✺

10.03.2025 Orense - Técnico Universitario 2:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	13	8	3	2	26:12	14	27
2	Barcelona SC	11	8	1	2	18:13	5	25
3	Aucas	13	6	4	3	19:14	5	22
4	Orense	13	6	2	5	16:18	-2	20
5	LDU Quito	11	5	4	2	17:8	9	19
6	Dep. Cuenca	13	6	1	6	11:12	-1	19
7	Vinotinto	13	5	3	5	21:17	4	18
8	Libertad	12	5	3	4	18:17	1	18
9	U. Catolica	12	4	5	3	20:14	6	17
10	Mushuc Runa	13	4	3	6	18:21	-3	15
11	Manta	13	3	5	5	17:23	-6	14
12	EL Nacional	13	3	4	6	16:19	-3	13
13	Emelec	12	3	4	5	8:14	-6	13
14	Macara	13	2	5	6	9:13	-4	11
15	Delfin	12	2	5	5	8:18	-10	11
16	Tecnico U	13	2	4	7	11:20	-9	10

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz