Universidad Católica del Ecuador vs Emelec: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec
Result
1:1
25/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Pro - Round 16
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.092.38
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
89% (372/418)86% (295/342)
Yellow Cards
20
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.092.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.601.46
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
103
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
2118
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
139
Passes
89% (372/418)86% (295/342)
Long passes
68% (23/34)64% (32/50)
Passes in final third
78% (88/113)77% (61/79)
Crosses
25% (5/20)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.48
Throw-ins
1710
Fouls
913
Tackles
50% (6/12)76% (19/25)
Duels won
3947
Clearances
721
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.460.60
Goals prevented
0.40-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 27', 0 - 1, Cueva C. (Pen),
  • 35', Canga L. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Cuero Palacio J. R. , Castelli F. ,
  • 59', Clavijo E. , Anangono G. ,
  • 68', Anangono G. 🟨,
  • 71', Cacciabue J. , Troya R. ,
  • 71', Valencia E. , Yanez Zambrano S. ,
  • 71', Romero Padilla D. A. , Mejia E. ,
  • 75', Cueva C. , Barco A. ,
  • 75', Ayovi J. , Quinonez J. ,
  • 81', Yanez Zambrano S. 🟥,
  • 84', Moreno L. , Draper A. ,
  • 88', Jhon Chancellor 🟨,
  • 90+1', Cevallos J. , Ruiz J. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Palacios B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Universidad Católica del Ecuador
55.1%
Draw
25.8%
Emelec
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 25.1% 14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 24.2% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Católica del Ecuador's form might have worsened.
  • Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica del Ecuador, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emelec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.53)
    3.6
    (3.7)
    4.78
    (6.5)
    8.1%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Emelec will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 71.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Uni Católica is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Emelec - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 0:4
    26.10.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec 2:0
    05.05.2024 Emelec - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:1
    28.10.2023 Emelec - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:1
    20.05.2023 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec 3:2
    Latest results of Emelec
    21.06.2025 Emelec - Delfín 2:2
    31.05.2025 Emelec - Orense 1:0
    25.05.2025 El Nacional - Emelec 2:0
    11.05.2025 Emelec - SD Aucas 0:1
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle25158245:202553
    2Barcelona SC26145738:29947
    3LDU Quito25128541:241744
    4Dep. Cuenca26126831:25642
    5Libertad26118740:34641
    6Aucas261151035:37-238
    7Orense25115927:29-238
    8U. Catolica2599746:331336
    9Emelec2598824:28-435
    10Macara26791025:27-230
    11EL Nacional25771130:35-528
    12Delfin25610924:37-1328
    13Tecnico U25671224:35-1125
    14Manta265101131:43-1225
    15Vinotinto26661429:37-824
    16Mushuc Runa ✔ 26551628:45-1720

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec?
    It is being streamed on channel
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