Unión San Felipe vs Universidad de Concepción: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chilean Primera B Unión San Felipe - Universidad de Concepción
Result
1:2
25/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Ascenso - Round 11
Unión San Felipe - Universidad de Concepción - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
55
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
25
Total shots
55
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
22
Corner Kicks
25
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Sagredo B. ,
  • 8', Ulloa H. 🟥,
  • 9', 1 - 1, Herrera I. (Pen),
  • 10', Sagredo B. 🟨,
  • 31', Retamal D. 🟨,
  • 41', Navarro P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Retamal D. , Ubal B. ,
  • 46', Ubal B. 🟨,
  • 49', 1 - 2, Herrera I. ,
  • 59', Gonzalez D. , Munoz C. ,
  • 67', Vergara S. 🟨,
  • 75', Gonzalez B. , Rodriguez P. ,
  • 77', Herrera I. , Sabando D. ,
  • 77', Molina S. , Canessa O. ,
  • 81', Canessa O. 🟨,
  • 81', Garces P. 🟨,
  • 84', Navarro P. , Carcamo M. ,
  • 90+1', Canessa O. , Olivares Alvarez R. I. ,
  • 90+8', Fuentealba J. , Benitez F. ,

Chances of winning


Unión San Felipe
38.6%
Draw
31%
Universidad de Concepción
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 31.2% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 30.2% 36.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión San Felipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión San Felipe's performance.
  • Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad de Concepción might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión San Felipe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad de Concepción could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Unión San Felipe - Universidad de Concepción Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.9)
    2.98
    (2.9)
    3.03
    (2.41)
    8.3%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Unión San Felipe - Universidad de Concepción?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Unión San Felipe will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Uni de Concepción will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Unión San Felipe (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Unión San Felipe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Uni de Concepción has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión San Felipe won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión San Felipe - Universidad de Concepción were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Unión San Felipe - Universidad de Concepción 1:0
    04.05.2024 Universidad de Concepción - Unión San Felipe 2:1
    08.10.2023 Universidad de Concepción - Unión San Felipe 0:0
    28.05.2023 Unión San Felipe - Universidad de Concepción 4:1
    30.08.2022 Unión San Felipe - Universidad de Concepción 1:0
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