Unión Magdalena vs Independiente Medellín: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

27/07/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Sierra Nevada (Santa Marta).

: Primera A - Clausura - Round 4
Referee: Ospina J. (Col)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.62	0.65
Ball Possession
71%	29%
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	2
Passes
84% (405/480)	68% (142/210)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62	0.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.21	1.04
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
10	3
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
8	2
Shots outside the Box
9	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
24	5
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
12	14
Passes
84% (405/480)	68% (142/210)
Long passes
40% (18/45)	39% (24/62)
Passes in final third
75% (121/161)	50% (35/70)
Crosses
30% (8/27)	50% (1/2)
Expected assists (xA)
1.16	0.34
Throw-ins
26	11
Fouls
14	12
Tackles
69% (11/16)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
41	45
Clearances
9	33
Interceptions
4	9
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.04	0.21
Goals prevented
-0.96	0.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Colpa Bolano R. R. 🟨,
4', Lastre E. 🟨,
9', 0 - 1, Sandoval L. ⚽,
20', Chaverra L. 🟨,
37', Sandoval L. 🟥,
38', Ramos N. 🟨,
43', Colpa Bolano R. R. ↓, Marquez R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Contreras J. ↓, Tello J. ↑,
46', Lastre E. ↓, Aleman J. ↑,
47', Aleman J. 🟨,
58', Murillo D. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
58', Chaverra F. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
59', Alvarado J. ↓, Loboa H. ↑,
59', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
65', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
83', Hinojosa R. ↓, Giraldo J. ↑,
84', Mena Perea E. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Perlaza B. ⚽, Arizala J. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yt7tep6y

Chances of winning

Unión Magdalena
21.3%

Draw
29.6%

Independiente Medellín
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

30.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

29.7%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↑ (4.2)	3.29 ↑ (3)	1.93 ↓ (1.96)	3.4% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Ind Medellín will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Unión Magdalena (votes: 1 - 50%). Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 0.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Ind Medellín is considered a favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.4:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Independiente Medellín?

Unión Magdalena has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Unión Magdalena?

Independiente Medellín has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín were as follows:

12.02.2025 Independiente Medellín - Unión Magdalena 1:1

08.11.2023 Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín 0:4

17.05.2023 Independiente Medellín - Unión Magdalena 4:0

10.10.2022 Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín 0:2

Latest results of Unión Magdalena

23.07.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena 4:1 ✺

18.07.2025 Unión Magdalena - Llaneros SA 0:0 ✺

15.06.2025 Unión Magdalena - Llaneros SA 0:0 ✺

11.06.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Unión Magdalena 3:1 ✺

05.06.2025 Unión Magdalena - Atlético Cali 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Independiente Medellín

24.07.2025 Independiente Medellín - Envigado 3:4 ✺

19.07.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Medellín 2:0 ✺

13.07.2025 Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar 1:1 ✺

29.06.2025 Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2 ✺

24.06.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín 0:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	8	5	2	1	16:10	6	17
2	Ind. Medellin	8	5	1	2	13:9	4	16
3	Deportes Tolima	8	5	1	2	9:5	4	16
4	Fortaleza	8	3	5	0	12:8	4	14
5	Llaneros	8	4	2	2	9:5	4	14
6	Atl. Nacional	7	3	3	1	13:7	6	12
7	Pereira	8	3	3	2	9:8	1	12
8	Santa Fe	8	3	3	2	8:8	0	12
9	Envigado	8	2	4	2	8:8	0	10
10	Dep. Cali	7	2	3	2	10:12	-2	9
11	La Equidad	8	2	3	3	6:9	-3	9
12	Alianza	8	2	3	3	8:12	-4	9
13	U. Magdalena	8	2	2	4	8:14	-6	8
14	Bucaramanga	5	2	1	2	9:8	1	7
15	Aguilas	7	1	4	2	8:8	0	7
16	Chico	7	1	3	3	6:9	-3	6
17	Dep. Pasto	6	1	2	3	8:10	-2	5
18	America De Cali	5	1	1	3	4:6	-2	4
19	Millonarios	7	1	1	5	8:11	-3	4
20	Once Caldas	7	0	3	4	6:11	-5	3

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz