Unión La Calera vs Universidad Católica: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chilean Primera Division Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica
Result
1:1
20/06/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Primera - Round 15
Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.201.22
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
512
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
67% (145/216)82% (337/411)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.201.22
xG on target (xGOT)
0.181.04
Total shots
512
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
1222
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1719
Passes
67% (145/216)82% (337/411)
Long passes
38% (20/52)51% (28/55)
Passes in final third
52% (33/64)63% (66/105)
Crosses
33% (7/21)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.320.73
Throw-ins
2130
Fouls
1917
Tackles
61% (20/33)61% (11/18)
Duels won
6864
Clearances
2715
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.040.18
Goals prevented
0.060.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Zampedri F. (Own goal),
  • 26', Zuqui F. , Cuevas C. ,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Zampedri F. , Valencia J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 70', Valencia J. , Bello E. ,
  • 70', Mena E. , Canales A. ,
  • 76', Montes C. , Rossel J. ,
  • 77', Mesias Gonzalez I. S. , Monreal D. ,
  • 77', Lobos F. , De Los Santos E. ,
  • 79', Ampuero B. 🟨,
  • 87', Arancibia Flores S. A. 🟨,
  • 90', Moya C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Insaurralde C. , Encinas A. ,
  • 90+4', Mendez Gonzalez J. E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Medel G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Unión La Calera
27.7%
Draw
30.3%
Universidad Católica
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 28.8% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 27.7% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión La Calera's form might have worsened.
  • Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad Católica's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión La Calera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad Católica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.32
    (2.5)
    3.09
    (3.15)
    2.29
    (2.6)
    6.2%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 1.
    • Unión La Calera has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Uni Católica's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:28. (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión La Calera won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica were as follows:
    21.03.2025 Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera 0:1
    10.02.2025 Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica 2:2
    20.07.2024 Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera 2:0
    09.05.2024 Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera 4:0
    10.04.2024 Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica 0:1
    Latest results of Unión La Calera
    Latest results of Universidad Católica
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo16105123:81535
    2A. Italiano16103329:191033
    3U. De Chile16102435:161932
    4Palestino1584322:14828
    5U. Catolica1675423:15826
    6Cobresal1675421:18326
    7O'Higgins1675416:17-126
    8Colo Colo1673626:18824
    9Union La Calera1664616:14222
    10Huachipato1763823:28-521
    11Nublense1748517:24-720
    12Everton1746719:26-718
    13La Serena17521020:31-1117
    14Limache1735917:24-714
    15U. Espanola16311215:30-1510
    16Deportes Iquique16131216:36-206

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso

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