Palestino vs Unión La Calera: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Chilean Primera Division Palestino - Unión La Calera
Result
1:0
14/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Primera - Round 7
  • Referee: Saravia B. (Chi)
Palestino - Unión La Calera - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.570.49
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
84% (377/451)79% (299/377)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.570.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.830.19
Total shots
158
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
1916
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
84% (377/451)79% (299/377)
Long passes
59% (37/63)37% (23/62)
Passes in final third
70% (91/130)59% (58/98)
Crosses
27% (6/22)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.82
Fouls
1012
Tackles
93% (13/14)90% (18/20)
Duels won
4845
Clearances Total
2421
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.191.83
Goals prevented
0.190.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Diaz C. 🟨,
  • 22', Martinez Arce A. E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Martinez Arce A. E. , Parra P. ,
  • 46', Leon J. , Zuniga D. ,
  • 60', Lopez F. , Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ,
  • 64', Abrigo J. , Arias J. ,
  • 71', Yanez F. , Insaurralde C. ,
  • 71', Moya C. , Lobos F. ,
  • 75', Diaz C. , Encinas A. ,
  • 75', Saez S. , Saldias J. ,
  • 75', Meza N. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 75', Espinoza Hevia V. A. , Garguez Gomez I. A. ,
  • 84', 1 - 0, Marabel J. , Parra P. (A),
  • 90+4', Ulloa D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Palestino
48.9%
Draw
27%
Unión La Calera
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 26.3% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4% 27.8% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Palestino - Unión La Calera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.93)
    3.44
    (3.55)
    3.9
    (3.72)
    6.8%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Palestino - Unión La Calera?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Palestino (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Palestino will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Palestino won 1.
    • Palestino is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Unión La Calera is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Unión La Calera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Palestino have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Palestino is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Palestino won 4 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23:24 (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Palestino won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palestino - Unión La Calera were as follows:
    18.08.2024 Unión La Calera - Palestino 2:1
    17.03.2024 Palestino - Unión La Calera 0:0
    06.08.2023 Unión La Calera - Palestino 2:3
    20.02.2023 Palestino - Unión La Calera 1:1
    Latest results of Palestino
    Latest results of Unión La Calera
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo18125128:91941
    2U. De Chile19122543:182538
    3Palestino18105326:151135
    4A. Italiano18104430:21934
    5O'Higgins1987421:21031
    6Cobresal1785422:18429
    7U. Catolica1876525:20527
    8Colo Colo1875629:21826
    9Huachipato1974826:30-425
    10Nublense1858518:24-623
    11Union La Calera1964916:20-422
    12Everton1846819:27-818
    13La Serena19531123:35-1218
    14Limache18351018:26-814
    15U. Espanola19411417:35-1813
    16Deportes Iquique19241319:40-2110

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso

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