Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga de Primera - Round 10
- Referee: Millas N. (Chi)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (386/484) | 79% (298/377) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (386/484) | 79% (298/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (25/50) | 36% (20/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (82/124) | 61% (62/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (13/30) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (20/26) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Graciani G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mateos F. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 63', Rubio P. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
- 63', Plaza M. ↓, Rozas I. ↑,
- 63', Molina L. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 72', De Los Santos E. 🟨,
- 72', Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ↓, Lobos F. ↑,
- 72', Yanez F. ↓, Mendez Gonzalez J. E. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 1, Saez S. ⚽, Saldias J. (A),
- 80', Graciani G. ↓, Sanchez P. ↑,
- 84', De Los Santos E. ↓, Britez A. ↑,
- 90+5', Saez S. ↓, Monreal D. ↑,
- 90+8', Monreal D. 🟨,
- 90+9', 1 - 1, Sosa G. (Pen),
- 90+9', Brunet N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ñublense
47.1% | Draw
28.8% | Unión La Calera
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Ñublense - Unión La Calera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.04) |
3.26 ↑
(3.2) |
3.89 ↑
(3.56) |
6.2%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ñublense - Unión La Calera?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Unión La Calera will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Ñublense has had a series of home games.
- Ñublense might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Unión La Calera?
Ñublense has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión La Calera won against Ñublense?
Unión La Calera has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Unión La Calera were as follows:
29.09.2024
Ñublense
-
Unión La Calera
0:1
05.05.2024
Unión La Calera
-
Ñublense
2:1
15.08.2023
Ñublense
-
Unión La Calera
1:1
26.02.2023
Unión La Calera
-
Ñublense
1:1
Latest results of Ñublense
Latest results of Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 34:11 | 23 | 53 |
| 2 | Palestino | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 28:17 | 11 | 39 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 44:21 | 23 | 38 |
| 4 | O'Higgins | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 27:25 | 2 | 38 |
| 5 | A. Italiano | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 35:30 | 5 | 37 |
| 6 | U. Catolica | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 36 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 25:23 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | Huachipato | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 32:31 | 1 | 31 |
| 9 | Nublense | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 21:24 | -3 | 29 |
| 10 | Colo Colo | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 28 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 12 | Everton | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 22 |
| 13 | La Serena | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 25:41 | -16 | 19 |
| 14 | Limache | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 25:34 | -9 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19:39 | -20 | 14 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23:45 | -22 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
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