Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Union Berlin - Hoffenheim
Result
2:4
13/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 3
  • Referee: Welz T. (Ger)
Union Berlin - Hoffenheim - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.853.01
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
78
Big Chances
56
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
70% (225/323)77% (358/463)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.853.01
xG on target (xGOT)
2.444.50
Total shots
209
Shots on target
78
Shots off target
91
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
149
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
56
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
3223
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
70% (225/323)77% (358/463)
Long passes
42% (22/53)36% (23/64)
Passes in final third
54% (51/95)58% (69/118)
Crosses
23% (6/26)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.81
Throw-ins
3025
Fouls
1312
Tackles
81% (13/16)71% (15/21)
Duels won
6172
Clearances
3259
Interceptions
1310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
4.502.44
Goals prevented
0.500.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 45', Querfeld L. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Kramaric A. (Pen),
  • 45+3', 0 - 2, Asllani F. , Lemperle T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 49', 1 - 2, Ansah I. ,
  • 52', 1 - 3, Asllani F. ,
  • 57', Asllani F. 🟨,
  • 66', Kramaric A. , Promel G. ,
  • 66', Asllani F. , Moerstedt M. ,
  • 68', Haberer J. , Kral A. ,
  • 71', 2 - 3, Rothe T. ,
  • 75', Khedira R. , Kemlein A. ,
  • 75', Ansah I. , Jeong Woo-Yeong ,
  • 75', Burke O. , Skarke T. ,
  • 78', Toure B. , Prass A. ,
  • 78', Hajdari A. , Arthur Chaves ,
  • 82', 2 - 4, Lemperle T. (Pen),
  • 82', Rothe T. 🟥,
  • 86', Skov R. , Kohn D. ,
  • 86', Lemperle T. , Damar M. ,

Chances of winning


Union Berlin
35.6%
Draw
27.6%
Hoffenheim
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 27.8% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 29.7% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Union Berlin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hoffenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Union Berlin - Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.5)
    3.44
    (3.45)
    2.6
    (2.83)
    4.8%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Hoffenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 32%80.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Hoffenheim (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 3.
    • Union Berlin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hoffenheim is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Hoffenheim has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Burcu L. (Ankle Injury) Nsoki S. (Muscle Injury) Schafer A. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Foot Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Union Berlin: Juranovic J. (Injury) Leite D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin 0:4
    21.09.2024 Union Berlin - Hoffenheim 2:1
    17.02.2024 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin 0:1
    23.09.2023 Union Berlin - Hoffenheim 0:2
    20.05.2023 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin 4:2
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich440018:31512
    2Dortmund43109:3610
    3RB Leipzig43016:7-19
    4FC Koln42119:727
    5St. Pauli42117:617
    6Eintracht Frankfurt420211:926
    7Freiburg42028:806
    8Stuttgart42025:506
    9Hoffenheim42028:10-26
    10Union Berlin42028:11-36
    11Bayer Leverkusen41218:715
    12Wolfsburg41217:615
    13Mainz41125:414
    14Werder Bremen41128:10-24
    15Hamburger SV41122:8-64
    16Augsburg41037:10-33
    17B. Monchengladbach40221:6-52
    18Heidenheim40042:9-70

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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