Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

31/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund).

: Bundesliga - Round 2
Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.21	1.21
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
90% (642/711)	80% (290/364)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21	1.21
xG on target (xGOT)
2.72	0.63
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
9	8
Shots outside the Box
2	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
21	14
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
7	13
Passes
90% (642/711)	80% (290/364)
Long passes
51% (26/51)	39% (26/66)
Passes in final third
78% (136/174)	53% (40/76)
Crosses
21% (3/14)	32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
2.03	0.71
Throw-ins
12	11
Fouls
14	7
Tackles
56% (5/9)	43% (6/14)
Duels won
37	39
Clearances
31	19
Interceptions
4	8
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
0.63	2.72
Goals prevented
0.63	-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Guirassy S. ⚽, Couto Y. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, Guirassy S. ⚽, Beier M. (A),
64', Trimmel C. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
64', Kral A. ↓, Jeong Woo-Yeong ↑,
70', Bellingham J. ↓, Nmecha F. ↑,
70', Ansah I. ↓, Burke O. ↑,
70', Skov R. ↓, Kohn D. ↑,
77', Anselmino A. ↓, Ryerson J. ↑,
77', Beier M. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
81', 3 - 0, Nmecha F. ⚽,
82', Haberer J. ↓, Kemlein A. ↑,
86', Sabitzer M. ↓, Gross P. ↑,
86', Guirassy S. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,

Chances of winning

Borussia Dortmund
66.9%

Draw
19.4%

Union Berlin
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

17.4%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9%

16.7%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Dortmund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.36)	4.87 ↓ (5.47)	7.05 ↓ (7.47)	4.6% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 4.
Borussia D is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Union Berlin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Borussia D is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Borussia D: Can E. (Groin Injury) Duranville J. (Shoulder Injury) Mane F. (Red Card) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury) Silva F. (Injury) Sule N. (Calf Injury)
There will not play in Union Berlin: Juranovic J. (Injury) Markgraf A. (Inactive) Nsoki S. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Union Berlin: Burcu L. (Injury) Leite D. (Inactive)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:18. (average 2.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:8. (average 3.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Union Berlin?

Borussia Dortmund has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Borussia Dortmund?

Union Berlin has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin were as follows:

22.02.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin 6:0

05.10.2024 Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund 2:1

02.03.2024 Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund 0:2

07.10.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin 4:2

08.04.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin 2:1

Latest results of Borussia Dortmund

23.08.2025 St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund 3:3 ✺

18.08.2025 Rot-Weiß Essen - Borussia Dortmund 0:1 ✺

10.08.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Juventus 1:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Lille 3:2 ✺

30.07.2025 Siegen - Borussia Dortmund 1:8 ✺

Latest results of Union Berlin

23.08.2025 Union Berlin - Stuttgart 2:1 ✺

15.08.2025 Gütersloh - Union Berlin 0:5 ✺

09.08.2025 Union Berlin - Olympiacos Piraeus 0:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Union Berlin - Espanyol 0:1 ✺

29.07.2025 Schweinfurt - Union Berlin 1:0 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	9:2	7	6
2	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	2	0	0	7:2	5	6
3	FC Koln	2	2	0	0	5:1	4	6
4	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	6:3	3	4
5	St. Pauli	2	1	1	0	5:3	2	4
6	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
7	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	5:4	1	3
8	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
9	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
10	Union Berlin	2	1	0	1	2:4	-2	3
11	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	2:6	-4	3
12	Bayer Leverkusen	2	0	1	1	4:5	-1	1
13	Mainz	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
14	B. Monchengladbach	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
15	Hamburger SV	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
16	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	4:7	-3	1
17	Heidenheim	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0
18	Freiburg	2	0	0	2	2:7	-5	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Which TV channels are streaming of Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 3
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Setanta Sports 2
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	beIN Connect, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, SportKlub 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	beIN Connect, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Daystar Pacific, Onefootball