Penedense vs União Carmolandense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie D Penedense - União Carmolandense
Result
1:1
20/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Round 13
Penedense - União Carmolandense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
77
Corner Kicks
67
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
79
Corner Kicks
67
Goalkeeper Saves
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, Romario Valenca (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 64', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Penedense
39.8%
Draw
29.9%
União Carmolandense
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 28.1% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 29.4% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penedense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • União Carmolandense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penedense than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Carmolandense than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Penedense - União Carmolandense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.14)
    3.06
    (3.2)
    3.03
    (3)
    9.1%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Penedense - União Carmolandense?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - União Carmolandense (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)
    • Penedense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • União Carmolandense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Penedense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Penedense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Penedense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penedense - União Carmolandense were as follows:
    26.04.2025 União Carmolandense - Penedense 1:1
    Latest results of Penedense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 0
    3GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 0
    4CianorteBarra FC
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