Barcelona de Ilhéus vs União Carmolandense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie D Barcelona de Ilhéus - União Carmolandense
Result
4:1
06/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Round 11
Barcelona de Ilhéus - União Carmolandense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
132
Shots on target
71
Corner Kicks
48
Total shots
132
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
61
Corner Kicks
48
Goalkeeper Saves
03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 0, Gianlucas ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Gianlucas ,
  • 74', 3 - 0, Alex Sandre ,
  • 84', 3 - 1, ,
  • 90+3', 4 - 1, Juninho Carpina (Pen),

Chances of winning


Barcelona de Ilhéus
48.2%
Draw
29.1%
União Carmolandense
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 24.7% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 25.9% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barcelona de Ilhéus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barcelona de Ilhéus's form might have worsened.
  • União Carmolandense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona de Ilhéus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Carmolandense than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Barcelona de Ilhéus - União Carmolandense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.63)
    3.13
    (3.65)
    4.02
    (4.5)
    9.7%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Barcelona de Ilhéus - União Carmolandense?
  • Users Predictions: Barcelona de Ilhéus will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barcelona de Ilhéus will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 6)
    • Barcelona is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • União Carmolandense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • União Carmolandense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Barcelona will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barcelona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona de Ilhéus - União Carmolandense were as follows:
    10.05.2025 União Carmolandense - Barcelona de Ilhéus 3:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3GoiatubaInter de Limeira
    4CianorteTBD #8
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