União Carmolandense vs Araguaína: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Campeonato Tocantinense União Carmolandense - Araguaína
Result
1:0 penalties
05/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Tocantinense - Play Offs - Final
União Carmolandense - Araguaína - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Paulo M. (Pen),
  • 1, Marcio (Pen),
  • 2, Gabriel (Pen),
  • 2, Pantera D. (Pen),
  • 3, Tiburcio (Pen),
  • 3, Wanderson (Pen),
  • 4, Rivaldo (Pen),
  • 4, Afonso F. (Pen),
  • 5, William (Pen),
  • 5, Morais B. (Pen),

Chances of winning


União Carmolandense
27.4%
Draw
34.1%
Araguaína
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 28.2% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 27.4% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • União Carmolandense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that União Carmolandense's form might have worsened.
  • Araguaína has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Carmolandense than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União Carmolandense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araguaína than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • União Carmolandense - Araguaína Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.33
    (2.54)
    2.67
    (3.2)
    2.37
    (2.5)
    9.6%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tocantinense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Recent matches União Carmolandense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Araguaína is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Araguaína could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Araguaína is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches União Carmolandense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1.3:0.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams União Carmolandense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between União Carmolandense - Araguaína were as follows:
    01.03.2025 União Carmolandense - Araguaína 2:0
    16.03.2024 Araguaína - União Carmolandense 1:1
    24.02.2024 União Carmolandense - Araguaína 1:0
    Latest results of União Carmolandense
    Latest results of Araguaína
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Capital FCAraguaina0 : 3, 2 : 1
    2TocantinopolisUniao Carmolandense0 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1AraguainaUniao Carmolandense0 : 1, 1 : 1
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