UNAM vs Santos Laguna: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX UNAM - Santos Laguna
Result
2:0
16/04/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Clausura - Round 16
  • Referee: Escobedo Gonzalez A. (Mex)
UNAM - Santos Laguna - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.38
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
86% (356/413)86% (375/436)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.900.69
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
139
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2022
Offsides
71
Free Kicks
612
Passes
86% (356/413)86% (375/436)
Long passes
63% (37/59)62% (37/60)
Passes in final third
70% (67/96)70% (76/108)
Crosses
50% (9/18)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.400.20
Fouls
126
Tackles
71% (10/14)80% (8/10)
Duels won
3443
Clearances Total
2118
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.691.90
Goals prevented
0.69-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Martinez G. , Ergas R. (A),
  • 30', Magallan L. , Duarte R. ,
  • 37', Medina D. , Munoz G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Pussetto I. , Ruvalcaba J. ,
  • 62', Carrasquilla A. , Lopez R. ,
  • 71', Sordo R. , Munoz S. ,
  • 72', Martinez G. , Funes Mori R. ,
  • 72', Suarez L. , Quispe Cordova P. A. ,
  • 74', 2 - 0, Nathan Silva , Trigos S. (A),
  • 82', Villalba F. , Lozano C. ,
  • 83', Barticciotto B. 🟨,
  • 89', Munoz S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


UNAM
72.1%
Draw
17.5%
Santos Laguna
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 23.2% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1% 17.9% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UNAM's performance.
  • Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santos Laguna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-27%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UNAM that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santos Laguna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • UNAM - Santos Laguna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.6)
    5.39
    (4.03)
    8.95
    (5.09)
    5.9%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for UNAM - Santos Laguna?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is UNAM will win! (17 of 17 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 18).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches UNAM won 1.
    • Recent matches UNAM is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Santos Laguna is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Santos Laguna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match UNAM is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Santos Laguna: Macias J. (Hamstring Injury) Perez J. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Amione B. (Knee Injury) Naveda S. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches UNAM won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 29:38 (average 1.5:1.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams UNAM won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:14 (average 1.5:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Santos Laguna were as follows:
    13.07.2024 Santos Laguna - UNAM 1:1
    18.02.2024 UNAM - Santos Laguna 3:0
    02.09.2023 Santos Laguna - UNAM 2:1
    14.01.2023 Santos Laguna - UNAM 3:0
    Latest results of UNAM
    12.04.2025 UNAM - Juárez 0:0
    09.04.2025 UNAM - Vancouver Whitecaps 2:2
    05.04.2025 Cruz Azul - UNAM 3:2
    02.04.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps - UNAM 1:1
    30.03.2025 Club León - UNAM 1:2
    Latest results of Santos Laguna
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Toluca (1)Monterrey (8)2 : 1, 2 : 3
    2Tigres UANL (4)Necaxa (5)2 : 2, 0 : 0
    3Club America (2)Pachuca (7)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    4Cruz Azul (3)Club Leon (6)2 : 1, 3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Toluca (1)Tigres UANL (4)3 : 0, 1 : 1
    2Club America (2)Cruz Azul (3)2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Final
    1Toluca (1)Club America (2)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of UNAM - Santos Laguna?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoCanal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    usaUsaTUDN
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