Mazatlan vs UNAM: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Mazatlan - UNAM
Result
1:4
12/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Apertura - Round 8
  • Referee: Escobedo Gonzalez A. (Mex)
Mazatlan - UNAM - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.333.26
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
88% (454/514)78% (213/272)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
2.333.26
xG on target (xGOT)
2.462.48
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
1310
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
4417
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
169
Passes
88% (454/514)78% (213/272)
Long passes
62% (26/42)53% (21/40)
Passes in final third
70% (87/124)61% (51/83)
Crosses
36% (8/22)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.99
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
1016
Tackles
54% (7/13)68% (19/28)
Duels won
4451
Clearances
1227
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
2.482.46
Goals prevented
-1.521.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 9', Almada F. 🟨,
  • 11', 0 - 1, Martinez G. (Pen),
  • 14', Martinez G. 🟨,
  • 18', Bennevendo P. 🟨,
  • 30', Trigos S. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 0 - 2, Martinez G. , Ruvalcaba J. (A),
  • 45+8', 1 - 2, Fabio Gomes , Moreno Villegas O. F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Dudu , Barcenas Y. ,
  • 54', Nathan Silva 🟨,
  • 57', Benedetti N. (Pen),
  • 59', Caicedo J. 🟨,
  • 60', Ramsey A. , Carrasquilla A. ,
  • 60', Lopez R. , Angulo A. ,
  • 67', Moreno Villegas O. F. , Gonzalez I. ,
  • 67', Fierro S. , Duarte A. ,
  • 75', Ruvalcaba J. , Medina A. ,
  • 76', Sierra J. , Esquivel J. ,
  • 76', Esquivel J. 🟨,
  • 83', Martinez G. , Macias J. ,
  • 83', Zaleta M. , Lainez M. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 3, Medina A. , Macias J. (A),
  • 90+12', 1 - 4, Macias J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Mazatlan
28%
Draw
28.5%
UNAM
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.4% 28.1% 44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3% 28% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Mazatlan - UNAM Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.36
    (3.42)
    3.27
    (3.33)
    2.16
    (2.1)
    6.6%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Mazatlan - UNAM?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mazatlan will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). UNAM will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for UNAM: 11.9%76.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 0.
    • Recent form of Mazatlan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, UNAM has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • UNAM could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Mazatlan: Herrera A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in UNAM: Lara P. (Injury) Lopez S. (Finger Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mazatlan: Diaz J. (Shoulder Injury) Esquivel J. (Muscle Injury) Intriago J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan - UNAM were as follows:
    09.02.2025 UNAM - Mazatlan 1:0
    08.11.2024 Mazatlan - UNAM 0:1
    05.04.2024 Mazatlan - UNAM 0:4
    09.07.2023 UNAM - Mazatlan 0:0
    24.02.2023 Mazatlan - UNAM 1:2
    Latest results of Mazatlan
    29.08.2025 Juárez - Mazatlan 1:0
    23.08.2025 Mazatlan - Tigres UANL 2:2
    17.08.2025 Monterrey - Mazatlan 3:2
    09.08.2025 Mazatlan - Tijuana 2:2
    05.08.2025 Mazatlan - San Diego 0:2
    Latest results of UNAM
    31.08.2025 UNAM - Atlas 1:0
    24.08.2025 UNAM - Puebla 0:0
    16.08.2025 Toluca - UNAM 1:1
    10.08.2025 UNAM - Necaxa 1:1
    06.08.2025 Inter Miami - UNAM 3:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca1291235:161928
    2Club America1283126:111527
    3Monterrey1282225:19626
    4Cruz Azul1274122:15725
    5Tigres UANL1265122:101223
    6Club Tijuana1255223:131020
    7Pachuca1262416:13320
    8Juarez1253416:15118
    9Guadalajara Chivas1252518:18017
    10UNAM Pumas1234515:19-413
    11Atlas1234521:27-613
    12Club Leon1233612:22-1012
    13Mazatlan FC1225515:21-611
    14Queretaro1232714:21-711
    15Atl. San Luis1231817:20-310
    16Santos Laguna1231813:21-810
    17Necaxa1223711:21-109
    18Puebla1212910:29-195

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Mazatlan - UNAM?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoAzteca 7, Caliente TV, Tubi TV
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN
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