Ulsan HD vs Gwangju: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer South Korean K-League 1 Ulsan HD - Gwangju
Result
2:0
18/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : K League 1 - Round 33
Ulsan HD - Gwangju - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
89
Corner Kicks
06
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
89
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
06
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
158
Fouls
813

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Ludwigson G. ,
  • 32', Jeong J. , Lee Min-Ki ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Yoon Jae-Seok , Um Won-Sang ,
  • 56', Baek In-Woo , Lee Chung-Yong ,
  • 64', Lee K. , Shin Chang-Moo ,
  • 64', Choi Kyoung-Rok , Fridjonsson H. ,
  • 68', Yu Je-Ho , Moon Min-seo ,
  • 68', Sim Sang-Min , Ahn Young-Kyu ,
  • 73', Jung Woo-Young , Bojanic D. ,
  • 75', Byeon Jun-Soo 🟨,
  • 75', Moon Min-seo 🟨,
  • 75', Erick Farias 🟨,
  • 83', Ludwigson G. , Lee H. ,
  • 83', Erick Farias , Lee Jin-Hyun ,
  • 90+2', Jo Hyeon-Woo 🟨,
  • 90+10', 🟨,
  • 90+12', Ha Seung-Un 🟨,
  • 90+13', 2 - 0, Lee Chung-Yong (Pen),

Chances of winning


Ulsan HD
43.5%
Draw
28.6%
Gwangju
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 27.2% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 27.2% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulsan HD's form might have worsened.
  • Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulsan HD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Ulsan HD - Gwangju Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (1.91)
    3.3
    (3.45)
    3.33
    (3.92)
    5.2%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ulsan HD - Gwangju?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Gwangju will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
    • Ulsan is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Gwangju has had a series of away games.
    • Ulsan will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 1.2:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ulsan won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.5:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ulsan HD - Gwangju were as follows:
    02.07.2025 Gwangju - Ulsan HD 1:0
    28.05.2025 Gwangju - Ulsan HD 1:1
    02.05.2025 Ulsan HD - Gwangju 3:0
    28.08.2024 Ulsan HD - Gwangju 2:2
    25.08.2024 Gwangju - Ulsan HD 0:1
    Latest results of Ulsan HD
    05.10.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD 3:0
    27.09.2025 Daegu - Ulsan HD 1:1
    21.09.2025 Ulsan HD - Anyang 0:0
    Latest results of Gwangju
    04.10.2025 Gwangju - Daegu 2:3
    28.09.2025 Anyang - Gwangju 0:0
    21.09.2025 FC Seoul - Gwangju 3:0
    14.09.2025 Suwon - Gwangju 2:4
    30.08.2025 Jeju - Gwangju 0:1
    South Korean K-League 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jeonbuk ✔ 33218457:273071
    2Gimcheon Sangmu ✔ 331671053:371655
    3Daejeon ✔ 331510848:41755
    4Pohang ✔ 331561240:43-351
    5Seoul3311121043:42145
    6Gangwon3311111132:36-444
    7Anyang ✔ 331261542:41142
    8Gwangju FC331191334:40-642
    9Ulsan HD ✔ 3310101339:43-440
    10Suwon FC ✔ 331081548:53-538
    11Jeju SK ✔ 33881735:47-1232
    12Daegu ✔ 33691841:62-2127

          Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
          K League 1 (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Jeonbuk is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
    Gimcheon Sangmu is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
    Daejeon is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
    Pohang is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
    Anyang is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
    Ulsan HD is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
    Suwon FC is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
    Jeju SK is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
    Daegu is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Ulsan HD - Gwangju?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play, IB Sports
    worldWorldK League TV, Onefootball
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