Hamburger SV vs Ulm 1846: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German 2 Bundesliga
Soccer German 2 Bundesliga Hamburger SV - Ulm 1846
Result
6:1
10/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 2. Bundesliga - Round 33
  • Referee: Burda M. (Ger)
Hamburger SV - Ulm 1846 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.332.27
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
81% (281/345)79% (295/372)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.332.27
xG on target (xGOT)
2.921.82
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
510
Passes
81% (281/345)79% (295/372)
Long passes
41% (16/39)44% (23/52)
Passes in final third
73% (77/106)65% (68/105)
Crosses
7% (1/15)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.65
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
105
Tackles
79% (11/14)87% (13/15)
Duels won
3641
Clearances
2510
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.822.92
Goals prevented
0.82-2.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Gaal T. ⚽, Strompf P. (A),
  • 10', 1 - 1, Reis L. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
  • 35', Muheim M. 🟨,
  • 36', Telalovic S. (Pen),
  • 40', Sahiti E. 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 1, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽, Sahiti E. (A),
  • 45+4', 3 - 1, Selke D. ⚽, Dompe J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Keller A. ↓, Chessa D. ↑,
  • 46', Sahiti E. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
  • 49', 4 - 1, Strompf P. (Own goal),
  • 61', Gaal T. 🟨,
  • 62', 5 - 1, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽,
  • 67', Telalovic S. ↓, Roser L. ↑,
  • 67', Krattenmacher M. ↓, Ludwig A. ↑,
  • 69', Selke D. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
  • 69', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
  • 73', Mikelbrencis W. 🟨,
  • 80', Poreba L. ↓, Richter M. ↑,
  • 80', Muheim M. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
  • 84', Rosch R. ↓, Reichert J. ↑,
  • 87', 6 - 1, Elfadli D. ⚽, Dompe J. (A),
  • 89', Higl F. ↓, Leipertz R. ↑,

Chances of winning


Hamburger SV
68.6%		Draw
17.6%		Ulm 1846
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.2% 18.3% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5% 17.5% 11.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
    •

    Hamburger SV - Ulm 1846 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.38 ↑
    (1.36)    		 5.33 ↑
    (5.16)    		 6.9 ↓
    (7.52)    		 5.9%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Ulm 1846?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Ulm will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 56.3% – 96.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Ulm (votes: 3 - 75%).
    • AH -2 - Hamburg (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Ulm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Hamburg is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Jatta B. (Knee Injury) Katterbach N. (Knee Injury) Schonlau S. (Yellow Cards) Soumahoro A. (Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Ulm: Reichert J. (Knock)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hamburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Ulm 1846 were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Ulm 1846 - Hamburger SV 1:1
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    03.05.2025 Darmstadt - Hamburger SV 0:4 ✺
    27.04.2025 Hamburger SV - Karlsruher 1:2 ✺
    19.04.2025 Schalke 04 - Hamburger SV 2:2 ✺
    11.04.2025 Hamburger SV - Eintracht Braunschweig 2:4 ✺
    05.04.2025 Nürnberg - Hamburger SV 0:3 ✺
    Latest results of Ulm 1846
    03.05.2025 Ulm 1846 - Hannover 1:2 ✺
    25.04.2025 Greuther Fürth - Ulm 1846 0:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Ulm 1846 - Hertha Berlin 2:3 ✺
    12.04.2025 Ulm 1846 - Magdeburg 1:0 ✺
    06.04.2025 Schalke 04 - Ulm 1846 2:1 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SG Dynamo Dresden00000:000
    2Braunschweig00000:000
    3Dusseldorf00000:000
    4Magdeburg00000:000
    5Holstein Kiel00000:000
    6Schalke00000:000
    7Hannover00000:000
    8Hertha Berlin00000:000
    9Karlsruher SC00000:000
    10Bochum00000:000
    11Arminia Bielefeld00000:000
    12Nurnberg00000:000
    13Greuther Furth00000:000
    14Kaiserslautern00000:000
    15Paderborn00000:000
    16Darmstadt00000:000
    17Preussen Munster00000:000
    18Elversberg00000:000

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Hamburger SV - Ulm 1846?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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