Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Ulm 1846: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

01/02/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf).

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 20
Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.60	2.00
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Goal Attempts
10	21
Shots on Goal
3	7
Shots off Goal
4	7
Blocked Shots
3	7
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
0	4
Shots inside the Box
6	14
Shots outside the Box
4	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
5	0
Free Kicks
10	14
Offsides
2	1
Fouls
14	10
Yellow Cards
4	4
Throw-ins
20	21
Touches in the Opposition Box
14	35
Passes
82% (361/441)	83% (368/445)
Passes in the final third
66% (80/122)	71% (77/109)
Crosses
29% (2/7)	24% (5/21)
Tackles
68% (13/19)	65% (11/17)
Clearances Total
33	8
Interceptions
6	9

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Johannesson I. ⚽, Kwarteng M. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Keller A. ⚽, Krattenmacher M. (A),
15', 2 - 1, Kownacki D. ⚽, Kwarteng M. (A),
19', Rosch R. 🟨,
21', van Brederode M. 🟨,
27', Strompf P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Fridriksson V. ↓, Zimmermann M. ↑,
52', 2 - 2, Batista Meier O. ⚽, Gaal T. (A),
60', 3 - 2, Kownacki D. (Pen),
64', Pejcinovic D. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,
64', Kwarteng M. ↓, Appelkamp S. ↑,
74', Johannesson I. 🟨,
77', Oberdorf T. 🟨,
83', van Brederode M. ↓, Hoffmann A. ↑,
86', Krattenmacher M. ↓, Higl F. ↑,
86', Telalovic S. ↓, Roser L. ↑,
86', Reichert J. ↓, Allgeier B. ↑,
89', Haag G. 🟨,
90', Thioune D. 🟨,
90+1', Higl F. 🟨,
90+2', Kownacki D. ↓, Vermeij V. ↑,
90+4', Allgeier B. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Fortuna Düsseldorf
53.1%

Draw
24.5%

Ulm 1846
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

24%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

23.3%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-3%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Ulm 1846 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.69)	3.86 ↓ (3.94)	4.25 ↓ (4.77)	5.4% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Fortuna Düsseldorf - Ulm 1846?

The most likely score is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Fortuna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Fortuna have a series of home games.
In this match Fortuna is a favorite.
There will not play in Fortuna: Gavory N. (Muscle Injury) Iyoha E. (Muscle Injury) Jastrzembski D. (Shoulder Injury) Kwasigroch R. (Knee Injury) Mbamba N. (Muscle Injury) Sobottka M. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Ulm: Geyer T. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Fortuna: Kwarteng M. (Illness)
Last 2 head-to-head matches Fortuna won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 3.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Düsseldorf won against Ulm 1846?

Fortuna Düsseldorf has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ulm 1846 won against Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Ulm 1846 has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Düsseldorf - Ulm 1846 were as follows:

25.08.2024 Ulm 1846 - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:2

Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf

25.01.2025 Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:3 ✺

17.01.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Darmstadt 2:2 ✺

09.01.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Bodø Glimt 3:2 ✺

06.01.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Feyenoord 0:1 ✺

20.12.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Magdeburg 2:5 ✺

Latest results of Ulm 1846

26.01.2025 Ulm 1846 - Jahn Regensburg 5:1 ✺

18.01.2025 Kaiserslautern - Ulm 1846 2:1 ✺

21.12.2024 Preußen Münster - Ulm 1846 0:0 ✺

14.12.2024 Ulm 1846 - Hamburger SV 1:1 ✺

07.12.2024 Hannover - Ulm 1846 3:2 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hamburger SV ✔	33	16	11	6	76:41	35	59
2	FC Koln	33	17	7	9	49:38	11	58
3	Elversberg	33	15	10	8	62:36	26	55
4	Paderborn	33	15	10	8	56:43	13	55
5	Dusseldorf	33	14	11	8	55:48	7	53
6	Kaiserslautern	33	15	8	10	56:51	5	53
7	Magdeburg	33	13	11	9	60:50	10	50
8	Hannover	33	13	11	9	40:35	5	50
9	Karlsruher SC	33	13	10	10	54:55	-1	49
10	Nurnberg	33	13	6	14	56:56	0	45
11	Hertha Berlin	33	12	7	14	48:50	-2	43
12	Darmstadt	33	10	9	14	53:54	-1	39
13	Schalke	33	10	8	15	51:60	-9	38
14	Greuther Furth	33	9	9	15	42:57	-15	36
15	Preussen Munster	33	8	11	14	38:41	-3	35
16	Braunschweig	33	8	11	14	37:60	-23	35
17	Ulm ✔	33	6	11	16	34:46	-12	29
18	Regensburg ✔	33	6	7	20	22:68	-46	25

      Promotion ~ Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga

Clinched Spots for Teams

Hamburger SV is Qualified for Bundesliga
Ulm is Relegated to 3. Liga
Regensburg is Relegated to 3. Liga

Which TV channels are streaming of Fortuna Düsseldorf - Ulm 1846?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 2
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Tivibu Spor 2
Usa	ESPN+
World	Onefootball