Ufa vs Arsenal Tula: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Russian FNL Ufa - Arsenal Tula
Result
1:2
18/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : FNL - Round 33
Ufa - Arsenal Tula - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
12
Shots on target
12
Corner Kicks
30
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
12
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
30
Free Kicks
1210
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', 0 - 1, Bolshakov K. (Pen),
  • 38', Reyes E. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Berdnikov A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Berdnikov A. , Moskalenchik I. ,
  • 54', Matskharashvili N. 🟨,
  • 55', 0 - 2, Reyes E. ,
  • 59', Bocherov V. , Chernyak I. ,
  • 59', Matskharashvili N. , Isaev S. ,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Chernyak I. ,
  • 62', Tkachev S. , Lipovoy D. ,
  • 69', Ahlinvi M. , Razdorskikh N. ,
  • 73', Stotsky D. , Akhatov D. ,
  • 74', Lozhkin V. , Mullin K. ,
  • 84', Djuranovic U. , Kalmykov A. ,
  • 84', Reyes E. , Geloyan I. ,
  • 90', Anisimov A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Tsulaya M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ufa
42.3%
Draw
28.6%
Arsenal Tula
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 29.7% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 30.5% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Ufa - Arsenal Tula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.15)
    3.28
    (3.18)
    3.22
    (3.56)
    6.7%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 1.
    • In recent matches, Ufa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Arsenal is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Arsenal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ufa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ufa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ufa - Arsenal Tula were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Arsenal Tula - Ufa 0:0
    26.03.2023 Arsenal Tula - Ufa 2:1
    02.09.2022 Ufa - Arsenal Tula 0:2
    Latest results of Ufa
    11.05.2025 Ural - Ufa 2:1
    27.04.2025 Ufa - Shinnik 1:0
    20.04.2025 Rodina Moscow - Ufa 2:0
    12.04.2025 Ufa - Alania Vladikavkaz 2:1
    Latest results of Arsenal Tula
    03.05.2025 Sochi - Arsenal Tula 5:1
    27.04.2025 Arsenal Tula - Rotor 1:1
    20.04.2025 Shinnik - Arsenal Tula 2:1
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh66007:1618
    2Ural650112:4815
    3Kamaz641112:7513
    4S. Kostroma64119:5413
    5Chelyabinsk640210:7312
    6R. Volgograd63217:3411
    7Arsenal Tula624010:6410
    8SKA Khabarovsk62226:608
    9Rodina Moscow71428:807
    10FK Chayka61326:7-16
    11Neftekhimik61324:5-16
    12Ufa61233:6-35
    13Yenisey61235:9-45
    14Shinnik Yaroslavl61234:7-35
    15Ulyanovsk61144:10-64
    16Torpedo Moscow71153:11-84
    17Saratov60423:6-34
    18Chernomorets Novorossijsk60245:10-52

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