Result
2:2
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : FNL - Round 11
- Referee: Sidorin A. (Rus)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', Kalmykov A. (Pen),
- 34', Berdnikov A. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Berdnikov A. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Tsaraev A. ↓, Troshechkin A. ↑,
- 46', Berdnikov A. ↓, Isaenko O. ↑,
- 57', Lipovoy D. ↓, Mirzov R. ↑,
- 58', Gystarov R. 🟨,
- 60', Akhatov D. 🟨,
- 67', Ozmanov D. ↓, Perchenok A. ↑,
- 70', Brnovic M. ↓, Azyavin I. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Reyes E. ⚽,
- 73', 1 - 2, Yusupov Z. ⚽,
- 79', Akhatov D. ↓, Chimezie W. ↑,
- 79', Gystarov R. ↓, Baranovsky A. ↑,
- 82', Razdorskikh N. ↓, Ahlinvi M. ↑,
- 87', Ortiz D. ↓, Karpuk I. ↑,
- 90+2', Baranovsky A. 🟨,
- 90+6', 2 - 2, Penchikov D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arsenal Tula
51.7% | Draw
28.8% | Ufa
19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Arsenal Tula - Ufa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(1.86) |
3.32 ↓
(3.46) |
4.97 ↑
(4.52) |
4.3%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 3.
- Arsenal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ufa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Arsenal is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Tula won against Ufa?
Arsenal Tula has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ufa won against Arsenal Tula?
Ufa has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal Tula - Ufa were as follows:
18.05.2025
Ufa
-
Arsenal Tula
1:2
29.09.2024
Arsenal Tula
-
Ufa
0:0
26.03.2023
Arsenal Tula
-
Ufa
2:1
02.09.2022
Ufa
-
Arsenal Tula
0:2
Latest results of Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 30 |
| 2 | S. Kostroma | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 22:13 | 9 | 29 |
| 3 | R. Volgograd | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 20:7 | 13 | 25 |
| 4 | Ural | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21:15 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Chelyabinsk | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 23 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 22:15 | 7 | 23 |
| 7 | Rodina Moscow | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 23 |
| 8 | SKA Khabarovsk | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10:11 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 16 |
| 12 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18:19 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Yenisey | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Ufa | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Ulyanovsk | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 | FK Chayka | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12:28 | -16 | 11 |
| 17 | Saratov | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8:16 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Torpedo Moscow | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 10 |
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