Gran Peña vs UD Ourense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Gran Peña - UD Ourense
Result
1:1
06/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29
Gran Peña - UD Ourense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Fernandez Rodriguez M. A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 83', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Gran Peña
17%
Draw
24.6%
UD Ourense
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.4% 20.7% 67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.9% 19.8% 70%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UD Ourense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gran Peña that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Ourense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gran Peña - UD Ourense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.33
    (7.37)
    3.69
    (4.4)
    1.55
    (1.36)
    10.2%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Gran Peña - UD Ourense?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Gran Peña won 2.
    • Recent matches Gran Peña is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • UD Ourense is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match UD Ourense is absolute favorite.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Gran Peña won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gran Peña won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 2.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gran Peña - UD Ourense were as follows:
    24.11.2024 UD Ourense - Gran Peña 2:0
    09.06.2024 Gran Peña - UD Ourense 2:1
    02.06.2024 UD Ourense - Gran Peña 3:3
    24.02.2024 UD Ourense - Gran Peña 0:2
    08.10.2023 Gran Peña - UD Ourense 1:1
    Latest results of Gran Peña
    30.03.2025 Betanzos - Gran Peña 2:1
    23.03.2025 Gran Peña - Polvorín 3:2
    16.03.2025 RC Villalbes - Gran Peña 0:0
    23.02.2025 Gran Peña - Sarriana 1:3
    16.02.2025 Alondras - Gran Peña 0:0
    Latest results of UD Ourense
    30.03.2025 UD Ourense - Somozas 0:0
    23.03.2025 Boiro - UD Ourense 0:1
    15.03.2025 UD Ourense - Villalonga 2:0
    01.03.2025 UD Ourense - Arosa 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Estradense (2)Noia (5)1 : 1
    2Sarriana (3)Racing Club Villalbes (4)1 : 0

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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