TWK Innsbruck vs Olimpija Ljubljana: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey Austrian Ice Hockey League TWK Innsbruck - Olimpija Ljubljana
Result
3:9
26/09/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : ICE Hockey League - Round 5
TWK Innsbruck - Olimpija Ljubljana - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3443
Shooting PCT
8.82% (3/34)20.93% (9/43)
Goalkeeper Saves
3431
Saves PCT
79.07% (34/43)91.18% (31/34)
Penalties
12
PIM
24
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
01
Power-play PCT
50% (1/2)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)50% (1/2)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 3)
  • 01:14, 0 - 1, Quince M. (G), Simsic N. (A),
  • 05:02, 0 - 2, Quince M. (G), Simsic N. (A), Kapel R. (A2)
  • 10:00, 0 - 3, Sodja J. (G),
  • 18:41, 1 - 3, Benker S. (G), Kudla P. (A), Owre S. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 04:09, 1 - 4, Polei E. (G), Brennan T. (A), Halbert N. (A2)
  • 08:38, 2 - 4, Witting M. (G), Benker S. (A), Ebner M. (A2)
  • 09:37, 3 - 4, Coatta M. (G), Sproule E. (A), Moberg C. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 5)
  • 02:09, 3 - 5, Boychuk Z. (G), Gregorc B. (A), Kirichenko C. (A2)
  • 06:34, 3 - 6, Meyer N. (G), Brennan T. (A),
  • 10:35, 3 - 7, Petan A. (G), Polei E. (A), Mahkovec M. (A2)
  • 10:49, 3 - 8, Polei E. (G), Mahkovec M. (A), Petan A. (A2)
  • 13:06, 3 - 9, Boychuk Z. (G), Meyer N. (A), Gregorc B. (A2)

Chances of winning


TWK Innsbruck
11.5%
Draw
14.7%
Olimpija Ljubljana
73.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.4% 16.6% 65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9% 16.1% 67.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • TWK Innsbruck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that TWK Innsbruck's form might have worsened.
  • Olimpija Ljubljana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpija Ljubljana's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for TWK Innsbruck than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for TWK Innsbruck, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpija Ljubljana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • TWK Innsbruck - Olimpija Ljubljana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.25
    (5.33)
    6.94
    (5.6)
    1.33
    (1.41)
    0.4%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Innsbruck won 2.
    • Innsbruck is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Olimpija is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Recently, Innsbruck has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Olimpija has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Olimpija is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Olimpija will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Innsbruck won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 68:48. (average 3.4:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Innsbruck won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:25. (average 3.4:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between TWK Innsbruck - Olimpija Ljubljana were as follows:
    31.01.2025 TWK Innsbruck - Olimpija Ljubljana 0:4
    14.12.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana - TWK Innsbruck 2:6
    02.11.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana - TWK Innsbruck 4:2
    04.10.2024 TWK Innsbruck - Olimpija Ljubljana 3:0
    27.01.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana - TWK Innsbruck 5:2
    Latest results of TWK Innsbruck
    Latest results of Olimpija Ljubljana
    Austrian Ice Hockey League Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Bolzano7600127:1018
    2HK Olimpija8420240:1916
    3Salzburg8411221:1615
    4Val Pusteria7410223:1414
    5Graz99ers7312127:1913
    6Villach8401326:2613
    7Klagenfurt7400320:1812
    8Vienna Capitals8311325:3012
    9Fehervar AV197301317:2510
    10Ferencvaros7201417:227
    11Black Wings Linz7110521:265
    12TWK Innsbruck7110517:365
    13Vorarlberg8101614:344

          Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
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