Sacramento Republic vs Tulsa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Sacramento Republic - Tulsa
Result
0:1
07/06/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Arreguin E. (Usa)
Sacramento Republic - Tulsa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.460.67
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
66
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
81% (406/499)60% (142/238)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.460.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.271.00
Total shots
66
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
10
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2017
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
2118
Passes
81% (406/499)60% (142/238)
Long passes
47% (34/72)23% (16/71)
Passes in final third
63% (99/158)47% (43/91)
Crosses
24% (6/25)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.520.51
Throw-ins
2918
Fouls
1821
Tackles
60% (3/5)78% (14/18)
Duels won
6062
Clearances
2538
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.000.27
Goals prevented
0.000.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Elmedkhar K. , Webber J. (A),
  • 14', Pierre D. 🟨,
  • 33', Marcos Serrato 🟨,
  • 39', Herrera J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Herrera J. , Lopez R. ,
  • 58', Benitez M. 🟨,
  • 60', Ross N. 🟨,
  • 61', Damm O. 🟨,
  • 66', Cicerone R. , Amann T. ,
  • 66', Kleemann F. , Luis Felipe ,
  • 67', Webber J. , Colli G. ,
  • 67', Elmedkhar K. , Goldthorp E. ,
  • 74', Pierre D. , St.Clair H. ,
  • 74', Dalou A. , Lukic S. ,
  • 84', Ross N. , Portillo J. J. ,
  • 84', Spaulding R. , Edwards A. ,
  • 87', Damm O. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sacramento Republic
47.3%
Draw
27.5%
Tulsa
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 24.6% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 24.1% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sacramento Republic's form might have worsened.
  • Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sacramento Republic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Sacramento Republic - Tulsa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.75)
    3.37
    (3.76)
    3.68
    (4.11)
    7.9%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic - Tulsa?
  • Users Predictions: Sacramento Republic will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sacramento Republic will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 1.
    • Sacramento Republic is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tulsa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sacramento Republic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sacramento Republic is the team to beat.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:14. (average 2.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Tulsa were as follows:
    28.03.2025 Tulsa - Sacramento Republic 1:0
    22.06.2024 Tulsa - Sacramento Republic 0:0
    13.04.2024 Sacramento Republic - Tulsa 1:1
    Latest results of Tulsa
    31.05.2025 Tulsa - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    28.05.2025 San Antonio - Tulsa 1:1
    18.05.2025 Lexington - Tulsa 0:2
    10.05.2025 Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive 1:1
    03.05.2025 Orange County SC - Tulsa 2:1
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City23166146:182854
    2Charleston23162547:242350
    3Loudoun23114837:35237
    4North Carolina22103934:32233
    5Hartford Athletic2395933:27632
    6Detroit2388729:26332
    7Pittsburgh2277821:21028
    8Indy Eleven23751136:42-626
    9Rhode Island23661116:24-824
    10Birmingham23410929:38-922
    11Tampa Bay22631324:34-1021
    12Miami FC23551322:38-1620


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa23127438:261243
    2Sacramento Republic22107533:171637
    3El Paso2288637:32532
    4Lexington2387825:29-431
    5New Mexico2193927:30-330
    6Colorado Springs2286829:30-130
    7San Antonio2286826:28-230
    8Phoenix Rising2379738:40-230
    9Orange County SC2184933:33028
    10Oakland Roots21731125:32-724
    11Monterey Bay24661224:32-824
    12Las Vegas Lights23661118:39-2124

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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