Sacramento Republic vs Tulsa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Sacramento Republic - Tulsa
Result
0:1
07/06/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Arreguin E. (Usa)
Sacramento Republic - Tulsa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.460.67
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
66
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
81% (406/499)60% (142/238)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.460.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.271.00
Total shots
66
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
10
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2017
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
2118
Passes
81% (406/499)60% (142/238)
Long passes
47% (34/72)23% (16/71)
Passes in final third
63% (99/158)47% (43/91)
Crosses
24% (6/25)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.520.51
Throw-ins
2918
Fouls
1821
Tackles
60% (3/5)78% (14/18)
Duels won
6062
Clearances
2538
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.000.27
Goals prevented
0.000.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Elmedkhar K. , Webber J. (A),
  • 14', Pierre D. 🟨,
  • 33', Marcos Serrato 🟨,
  • 39', Herrera J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Herrera J. , Lopez R. ,
  • 58', Benitez M. 🟨,
  • 60', Ross N. 🟨,
  • 61', Damm O. 🟨,
  • 66', Cicerone R. , Amann T. ,
  • 66', Kleemann F. , Luis Felipe ,
  • 67', Webber J. , Colli G. ,
  • 67', Elmedkhar K. , Goldthorp E. ,
  • 74', Pierre D. , St.Clair H. ,
  • 74', Dalou A. , Lukic S. ,
  • 84', Ross N. , Portillo J. J. ,
  • 84', Spaulding R. , Edwards A. ,
  • 87', Damm O. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sacramento Republic
47.3%
Draw
27.5%
Tulsa
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 24.6% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 24.1% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sacramento Republic's form might have worsened.
  • Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sacramento Republic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Sacramento Republic - Tulsa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.75)
    3.37
    (3.76)
    3.68
    (4.11)
    7.9%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic - Tulsa?
  • Users Predictions: Sacramento Republic will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sacramento Republic will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 1.
    • Sacramento Republic is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tulsa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sacramento Republic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sacramento Republic is the team to beat.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:14. (average 2.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Tulsa were as follows:
    28.03.2025 Tulsa - Sacramento Republic 1:0
    22.06.2024 Tulsa - Sacramento Republic 0:0
    13.04.2024 Sacramento Republic - Tulsa 1:1
    Latest results of Tulsa
    31.05.2025 Tulsa - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    28.05.2025 San Antonio - Tulsa 1:1
    18.05.2025 Lexington - Tulsa 0:2
    10.05.2025 Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive 1:1
    03.05.2025 Orange County SC - Tulsa 2:1
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City1284019:71228
    2Charleston1181226:121425
    3Loudoun1171320:11922
    4North Carolina1162316:11520
    5Detroit1245315:15017
    6Pittsburgh114259:10-114
    7Miami FC1041511:14-313
    8Rhode Island1233611:13-212
    9Indy Eleven1025318:20-211
    10Birmingham1124512:16-410
    11Hartford Athletic101369:17-86
    12Tampa Bay1112810:20-105


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New Mexico1171316:10622
    2FC Tulsa1162314:8620
    3San Antonio1262418:16220
    4El Paso1255221:16520
    5Phoenix Rising1254322:19319
    6Monterey Bay1354415:13219
    7Orange County SC1141614:20-613
    8Sacramento Republic1034315:11413
    9Las Vegas Lights123367:18-1112
    10Colorado Springs1226416:19-312
    11Oakland Roots1232713:22-911
    12Lexington1215611:20-98

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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