Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Tulsa - Phoenix Rising
Result
1:1
14/06/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Tulsa - Phoenix Rising - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.320.91
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
299
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
74% (227/305)74% (268/362)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
2.320.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.961.59
Total shots
299
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
142
Shots inside the Box
154
Shots outside the Box
145
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
3415
Accurate through passes
04
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1419
Passes
74% (227/305)74% (268/362)
Long passes
37% (18/49)39% (22/57)
Passes in final third
67% (86/129)58% (53/92)
Crosses
23% (7/30)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.561.50
Throw-ins
2423
Fouls
1914
Tackles
86% (12/14)61% (11/18)
Duels won
4763
Clearances
1851
Interceptions
1611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
1.591.96
Goals prevented
0.590.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', Okello N. 🟨,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Sacko I. , Avayevu H. (A),
  • 31', Sacko I. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Avayevu H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Elmedkhar K. , Calheira T. ,
  • 62', Sacko I. , Johnson D. ,
  • 62', Flood R. , Cuello E. ,
  • 62', Goldthorp E. , Lukic S. ,
  • 69', Webber J. , Colli G. ,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Rogers A. , Calheira T. (A),
  • 80', Dennis C. , Emmers X. ,
  • 85', Cuello E. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Formella D. , Ping J. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tulsa
45.4%
Draw
26.8%
Phoenix Rising
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 27.3% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 28.7% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tulsa's performance.
  • Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Tulsa - Phoenix Rising Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.31)
    3.45
    (3.38)
    3.32
    (2.83)
    8.2%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Tulsa - Phoenix Rising?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tulsa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Phoenix Rising will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 1.
    • Recent performances by Tulsa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Phoenix Rising is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Tulsa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.6:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 2.1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    08.03.2025 Phoenix Rising - Tulsa 0:1
    06.09.2024 Phoenix Rising - Tulsa 1:0
    05.04.2024 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 3:3
    09.09.2023 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 0:0
    Latest results of Tulsa
    31.05.2025 Tulsa - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    28.05.2025 San Antonio - Tulsa 1:1
    18.05.2025 Lexington - Tulsa 0:2
    10.05.2025 Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive 1:1
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City1394023:91431
    2Charleston1291228:131528
    3Loudoun1281323:131025
    4North Carolina1262417:13420
    5Detroit1345417:18-117
    6Rhode Island1343613:14-115
    7Pittsburgh124269:11-214
    8Indy Eleven1135319:20-114
    9Miami FC1141612:16-413
    10Birmingham1224614:20-610
    11Tampa Bay1222812:21-98
    12Hartford Athletic1113710:19-96


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New Mexico1271417:12522
    2FC Tulsa1263315:9621
    3San Antonio1363418:16221
    4Phoenix Rising1355323:20320
    5El Paso1355321:19220
    6Monterey Bay1454515:15019
    7Orange County SC1251617:20-316
    8Las Vegas Lights134369:18-915
    9Colorado Springs1336417:19-215
    10Sacramento Republic1135315:11414
    11Oakland Roots1332813:23-1011
    12Lexington1325613:21-811

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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