Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Tulsa - Phoenix Rising
Result
1:1
14/06/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Tulsa - Phoenix Rising - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.320.91
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
299
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
74% (227/305)74% (268/362)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
2.320.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.961.59
Total shots
299
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
142
Shots inside the Box
154
Shots outside the Box
145
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
3415
Accurate through passes
04
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1419
Passes
74% (227/305)74% (268/362)
Long passes
37% (18/49)39% (22/57)
Passes in final third
67% (86/129)58% (53/92)
Crosses
23% (7/30)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.561.50
Throw-ins
2423
Fouls
1914
Tackles
86% (12/14)61% (11/18)
Duels won
4763
Clearances
1851
Interceptions
1611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
1.591.96
Goals prevented
0.590.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', Okello N. 🟨,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Sacko I. , Avayevu H. (A),
  • 31', Sacko I. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Avayevu H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Elmedkhar K. , Calheira T. ,
  • 62', Sacko I. , Johnson D. ,
  • 62', Flood R. , Cuello E. ,
  • 62', Goldthorp E. , Lukic S. ,
  • 69', Webber J. , Colli G. ,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Rogers A. , Calheira T. (A),
  • 80', Dennis C. , Emmers X. ,
  • 85', Cuello E. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Formella D. , Ping J. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tulsa
45.4%
Draw
26.8%
Phoenix Rising
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 27.3% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 28.7% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tulsa's performance.
  • Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Tulsa - Phoenix Rising Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.31)
    3.45
    (3.38)
    3.32
    (2.83)
    8.2%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Tulsa - Phoenix Rising?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tulsa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Phoenix Rising will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 1.
    • Recent performances by Tulsa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Phoenix Rising is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Tulsa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.6:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 2.1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    08.03.2025 Phoenix Rising - Tulsa 0:1
    06.09.2024 Phoenix Rising - Tulsa 1:0
    05.04.2024 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 3:3
    09.09.2023 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 0:0
    Latest results of Tulsa
    31.05.2025 Tulsa - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    28.05.2025 San Antonio - Tulsa 1:1
    18.05.2025 Lexington - Tulsa 0:2
    10.05.2025 Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive 1:1
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City16114129:121737
    2Charleston16112333:151835
    3Loudoun1582524:20426
    4North Carolina1472519:15423
    5Pittsburgh1462612:12020
    6Detroit1555519:20-120
    7Miami FC1452715:20-517
    8Indy Eleven1445523:24-117
    9Rhode Island1544714:17-316
    10Birmingham1636716:22-615
    11Tampa Bay1432916:24-811
    12Hartford Athletic1223713:19-69


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New Mexico1481521:15625
    2San Antonio1573522:21124
    3El Paso1565424:22223
    4FC Tulsa1364317:11622
    5Sacramento Republic1455419:12720
    6Phoenix Rising1555524:25-120
    7Monterey Bay1654716:20-419
    8Las Vegas Lights1553710:20-1018
    9Orange County SC1352617:20-317
    10Oakland Roots1552816:23-717
    11Lexington1545616:22-617
    12Colorado Springs1536618:22-415

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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