Orange County SC vs Tulsa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship
Soccer USL Championship Orange County SC - Tulsa
Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Orange County SC - Tulsa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.47
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
67% (208/309)64% (173/270)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.770.49
Total shots
227
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
165
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
3112
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1510
Passes
67% (208/309)64% (173/270)
Long passes
32% (25/77)32% (22/68)
Passes in final third
55% (67/121)55% (58/105)
Crosses
34% (10/29)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.59
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
1015
Tackles
69% (9/13)45% (5/11)
Duels won
5253
Clearances
2939
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.490.77
Goals prevented
-0.51-1.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2', Colli G. 🟨,
  • 7', Benalcazar N. 🟨,
  • 11', Stone D. 🟨,
  • 37', Diallo B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Lukic S. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
  • 48', Damm O. 🟨,
  • 52', Brewitt T. ↓, Miles A. ↑,
  • 55', 1 - 0, MacKinnon L. ⚽, Miles A. (A),
  • 57', Latinovich V. 🟨,
  • 58', Dalou A. ↓, Webber J. ↑,
  • 58', Damm O. ↓, Stauffer L. ↑,
  • 74', Jamison B. ↓, War M. ↑,
  • 74', 1 - 1, Calheira T. ⚽, St.Clair H. (A),
  • 80', 2 - 1, MacKinnon L. ⚽, Doghman R. (A),
  • 84', Diallo B. ↓, Laszo E. ↑,
  • 84', Dunbar C. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
  • 84', MacKinnon L. ↓, Trager T. ↑,
  • 85', Toure A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Calheira T. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Orange County SC
40.5%		Draw
27.7%		Tulsa
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 27.7% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 27.4% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Tulsa aligns with the current prediction.
    •

    Orange County SC - Tulsa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.29 ↑
    (2.27)    		 3.35 ↑
    (3.34)    		 2.92 ↓
    (2.94)    		 7.9%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 4.
    • Orange County SC is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tulsa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Orange County SC will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 2.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 2.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Tulsa were as follows:
    09.08.2024 Tulsa - Orange County SC 0:0
    30.03.2024 Orange County SC - Tulsa 1:0
    17.06.2023 Tulsa - Orange County SC 0:3
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    26.04.2025 Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights 1:3
    19.04.2025 Oakland Roots - Orange County SC 2:0
    15.04.2025 AV Alta - Orange County SC 3:2
    12.04.2025 Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic 2:1
    05.04.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC 1:0
    Latest results of Tulsa
    26.04.2025 One Knoxville - Tulsa 2:2
    19.04.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa 1:4
    16.04.2025 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    12.04.2025 Tulsa - Oakland Roots 1:2
    02.04.2025 Forward Madison - Tulsa 1:3
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City1284019:71228
    2Charleston1181226:121425
    3Loudoun1171320:11922
    4North Carolina1162316:11520
    5Detroit1245315:15017
    6Pittsburgh114259:10-114
    7Miami FC1041511:14-313
    8Rhode Island1233611:13-212
    9Indy Eleven1025318:20-211
    10Birmingham1124512:16-410
    11Hartford Athletic101369:17-86
    12Tampa Bay1112810:20-105


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New Mexico1171316:10622
    2FC Tulsa1162314:8620
    3San Antonio1262418:16220
    4El Paso1255221:16520
    5Phoenix Rising1254322:19319
    6Monterey Bay1354415:13219
    7Orange County SC1141614:20-613
    8Sacramento Republic1034315:11413
    9Las Vegas Lights123367:18-1112
    10Colorado Springs1226416:19-312
    11Oakland Roots1232713:22-911
    12Lexington1215611:20-98

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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