Orange County SC vs Tulsa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship
Soccer USL Championship Orange County SC - Tulsa
Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Orange County SC - Tulsa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.47
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
67% (208/309)64% (173/270)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.770.49
Total shots
227
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
165
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
3112
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1510
Passes
67% (208/309)64% (173/270)
Long passes
32% (25/77)32% (22/68)
Passes in final third
55% (67/121)55% (58/105)
Crosses
34% (10/29)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.59
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
1015
Tackles
69% (9/13)45% (5/11)
Duels won
5253
Clearances
2939
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.490.77
Goals prevented
-0.51-1.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2', Colli G. 🟨,
  • 7', Benalcazar N. 🟨,
  • 11', Stone D. 🟨,
  • 37', Diallo B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Lukic S. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
  • 48', Damm O. 🟨,
  • 52', Brewitt T. ↓, Miles A. ↑,
  • 55', 1 - 0, MacKinnon L. ⚽, Miles A. (A),
  • 57', Latinovich V. 🟨,
  • 58', Dalou A. ↓, Webber J. ↑,
  • 58', Damm O. ↓, Stauffer L. ↑,
  • 74', Jamison B. ↓, War M. ↑,
  • 74', 1 - 1, Calheira T. ⚽, St.Clair H. (A),
  • 80', 2 - 1, MacKinnon L. ⚽, Doghman R. (A),
  • 84', Diallo B. ↓, Laszo E. ↑,
  • 84', Dunbar C. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
  • 84', MacKinnon L. ↓, Trager T. ↑,
  • 85', Toure A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Calheira T. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Orange County SC
40.5%		Draw
27.7%		Tulsa
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 27.7% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 27.4% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Tulsa aligns with the current prediction.
    •

    Orange County SC - Tulsa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.29 ↑
    (2.27)    		 3.35 ↑
    (3.34)    		 2.92 ↓
    (2.94)    		 7.9%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 4.
    • Orange County SC is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tulsa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Orange County SC will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 2.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 2.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Tulsa were as follows:
    09.08.2024 Tulsa - Orange County SC 0:0
    30.03.2024 Orange County SC - Tulsa 1:0
    17.06.2023 Tulsa - Orange County SC 0:3
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    26.04.2025 Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights 1:3
    19.04.2025 Oakland Roots - Orange County SC 2:0
    15.04.2025 AV Alta - Orange County SC 3:2
    12.04.2025 Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic 2:1
    05.04.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC 1:0
    Latest results of Tulsa
    26.04.2025 One Knoxville - Tulsa 2:2
    19.04.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa 1:4
    16.04.2025 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    12.04.2025 Tulsa - Oakland Roots 1:2
    02.04.2025 Forward Madison - Tulsa 1:3
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City18125134:142041
    3Loudoun1883728:27127
    4North Carolina1782726:24226
    5Pittsburgh1875617:15226
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1755727:31-420
    8Miami FC1754817:25-819
    9Birmingham1947822:28-619
    10Tampa Bay17521020:26-617
    11Rhode Island1845914:20-617
    12Hartford Athletic1644819:21-216


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1795327:18932
    2San Antonio1783624:24027
    3Sacramento Republic1776425:131227
    4El Paso1775530:25526
    5New Mexico1681722:21125
    6Phoenix Rising1866630:33-324
    7Orange County SC1672726:23323
    8Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    9Colorado Springs1756622:23-121
    10Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    11Lexington1847718:26-819
    12Las Vegas Lights18531013:34-2118

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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